Prediction: Montrose vs Hamilton
Team pages: Montrose · Hamilton
- Montrose0-2Hamilton
- Hamilton1-1Montrose
- Montrose0-4Hamilton
- Hamilton2-0Montrose
- Montrose1-2Hamilton
- Hamilton1-1Montrose
| Montrose | Draw | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1489 vs 1607).
- H2H favours Hamilton: 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montrose | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.5 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose 0–2–4 Hamilton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Scotland League One | Montrose | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hamilton |
| 28/02/26 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Montrose |
| 18/10/25 Scotland League One | Montrose | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Hamilton |
| 02/08/25 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Montrose |
| 20/04/24 Scotland League One | Montrose | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Hamilton |
| 27/01/24 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Montrose |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Airdrieonians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alloa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Kilbride | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queen of South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ross County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montrose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Spartans Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Arbroath Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Stirling Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Inverurie Loco Works Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | St Johnstone Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Civil Service Strollers UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Forfar UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Haverfordwest County UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Raith UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
2-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Forfar Scotland League One Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Forfar Scotland League One Play-Offs |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montrose vs Hamilton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hamilton win (43%). Probabilities: Montrose 30%, draw 27%, Hamilton 43%.
How many goals are expected in Montrose vs Hamilton?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Montrose 1.21 · Hamilton 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Montrose vs Hamilton?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.