Football · Scotland League One · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Peterhead vs Queen of South

Team pages: Peterhead · Queen of South

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Peterhead1.56

Queen of South1.15

1X2

46% 26% 27%

Peterhead Draw Queen of South

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Peterhead 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLLLL

Queen of South 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWDLLW

Head-to-head

Peterhead 3–1–2 Queen of South (6 last)

Queen of South0-1Peterhead
Peterhead1-1Queen of South
Queen of South0-2Peterhead
Peterhead3-0Queen of South
Queen of South4-0Peterhead
Queen of South2-1Peterhead

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterhead 1459 · Queen of South 1462

	Peterhead	Draw	Queen of South
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Peterhead: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Peterhead	Queen of South
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.8	1.4 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.8	1.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:22 +15’	1.91	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterhead 3–1–2 Queen of South

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Scotland League One	Queen of South	0-1 HT 0-1	Peterhead
18/04/26 Scotland League One	Peterhead	1-1 HT 0-0	Queen of South
28/02/26 Scotland League One	Queen of South	0-2 HT 0-1	Peterhead
18/10/25 Scotland League One	Peterhead	3-0 HT 2-0	Queen of South
16/08/25 Scotland League One	Queen of South	4-0 HT 1-0	Peterhead
01/04/23 Scotland League One	Queen of South	2-1 HT 0-0	Peterhead

Standings · Scotland League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ross County	8	7	1	0	26	5	22
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18	2	22
3	East Kilbride	9	5	1	3	17	12	16
4	Montrose	9	5	0	4	13	14	15
5	Airdrieonians	9	3	3	3	7	11	12
6	Alloa	9	2	3	4	9	10	9
7	East Fife	9	1	5	3	7	10	8
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7	16	7
9	Queen of South	9	2	1	6	10	27	7
10	Cove Rangers	9	1	2	6	8	15	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Peterhead	Queen of South
Hamilton	1-2 L	1-4 L
Airdrieonians	1-2 L	2-1 W
East Kilbride	1-3 L	1-5 L
Montrose	0-3 L	1-2 L
Alloa	1-1 D	0-2 L
Cove Rangers	0-3 L	4-3 W
East Fife	2-1 W	1-1 D
Ross County	0-1 L	0-8 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Peterhead (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peterhead

LLWWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Hamilton Scotland League One	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
19/09	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
12/09	East Kilbride Scotland League One	0-1	1-3	2	6	L
05/09	Montrose Scotland League One	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
29/08	Alloa Scotland League One	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
22/08	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	0-0	0-3	4	4	L
15/08	East Fife Scotland League One	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
08/08	Queen of South Scotland League One	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
01/08	Ross County Scotland League One	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
02/05	Kelty Hearts Scotland League One	0-0	0-2	13	2	L

Queen of South

WLLLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Cove Rangers Scotland League One	2-0	4-3	6	6	W
19/09	Hamilton Scotland League One	1-3	1-4	0	2	L
15/09	Ross County Scotland League One	0-2	0-8	2	4	L
12/09	East Fife Scotland League One	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
05/09	Airdrieonians Scotland League One	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	Montrose Scotland League One	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
22/08	Alloa Scotland League One	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
08/08	Peterhead Scotland League One	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
01/08	East Kilbride Scotland League One	1-3	1-5	2	7	L
02/05	Alloa Scotland League One	1-1	4-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterhead vs Queen of South?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterhead win (46%). Probabilities: Peterhead 46%, draw 26%, Queen of South 27%.

How many goals are expected in Peterhead vs Queen of South?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Peterhead 1.56 · Queen of South 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterhead vs Queen of South?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.