Prediction: Raith vs Stenhousemuir
Team pages: Raith · Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir1-1Raith
- Raith5-1Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir1-3Raith
- Raith2-0Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir2-0Raith
| Raith | Draw | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 29% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Raith: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raith | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raith 3–1–1 Stenhousemuir
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/19 Scotland League One | Stenhousemuir | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Raith |
| 05/01/19 Scotland League One | Raith | 5-1 HT 4-1 | Stenhousemuir |
| 17/11/18 Scotland League One | Stenhousemuir | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Raith |
| 11/08/18 Scotland League One | Raith | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 18/08/15 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Stenhousemuir | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Raith |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ayr | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dunfermline | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Morton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inverness CT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queen's Park | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Raith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raith
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | FC Edinburgh UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Hamilton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 01/05 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Stenhousemuir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Livingston Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/07 | Partick Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Brechin Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Forfar Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 11 | L |
| 13/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Queen of South Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Queen of South Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raith vs Stenhousemuir?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Raith win (55%). Probabilities: Raith 55%, draw 27%, Stenhousemuir 17%.
How many goals are expected in Raith vs Stenhousemuir?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Raith 1.49 · Stenhousemuir 0.72), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Raith vs Stenhousemuir?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.