Football · Scotland Championship · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stenhousemuir vs Morton

Team pages: Stenhousemuir · Morton

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Stenhousemuir1.84
Morton0.48
1X2
70% 22% 8%
Stenhousemuir Draw Morton
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Stenhousemuir 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WDDWLWWDDD
Morton 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LDLDDLLLLL
Head-to-head
Stenhousemuir 1–5 Morton (6 last)
  • Stenhousemuir4-0Morton
  • Morton3-0Stenhousemuir
  • Morton2-0Stenhousemuir
  • Stenhousemuir0-3Morton
  • Morton3-2Stenhousemuir
  • Stenhousemuir2-3Morton
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stenhousemuir (rating 1555 vs 1406).
  • H2H favours Morton: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StenhousemuirMorton
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.80.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.91.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 03.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stenhousemuir 105 Morton

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
Scotland FA Cup
Stenhousemuir4-0
HT 2-0
Morton
15/07/25
Scotland League Cup
Morton3-0
HT 3-0
Stenhousemuir
21/07/18
Scotland League Cup
Morton2-0
HT 2-0
Stenhousemuir
01/07/17
UK Friendlies
Stenhousemuir0-3
HT 0-1
Morton
11/04/15
Scotland League One
Morton3-2
HT 0-1
Stenhousemuir
10/01/15
Scotland League One
Stenhousemuir2-3
HT 0-0
Morton

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ayr 1100 203
1 Livingston 1100 203
3 Partick 1100 103
4 Raith 1010 111
4 Stenhousemuir 1010 111
6 Dunfermline 1010 001
6 Inverness CT 1010 001
8 Morton 1001 010
9 Arbroath 1001 020
9 Queen's Park 1001 020

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStenhousemuirMorton
Raith 1-1 D 2-3 L
Partick 2-2 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stenhousemuir (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stenhousemuir

WDDWLWWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Raith
Scotland Championship
1-1 1-1 24 D
25/07 Livingston
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-0 23 D
21/07 Partick
Scotland League Cup
2-1 2-2 13 D
18/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
2-1 2-1 W
11/07 Forfar
Scotland League Cup
0-0 2-0 130 W
16/05 Alloa
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 011 L
13/05 Alloa
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
2-0 3-1 44 W
09/05 Queen of South
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 55 D
05/05 Queen of South
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 65 D
02/05 Montrose
Scotland League One
1-0 2-0 23 W

Morton

LDLDDLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-1 45 L
25/07 Inverness CT
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-1 21 L
18/07 St Johnstone
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-3 05 L
14/07 East Fife
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 54 L
11/07 Linlithgow Rose
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 65 L
04/07 Stranraer
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 21 D
01/05 Airdrieonians
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-1 48 D
25/04 Ross County
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-4 43 L
18/04 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 112 D
11/04 Raith
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-3 22 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stenhousemuir vs Morton?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stenhousemuir win (70%). Probabilities: Stenhousemuir 70%, draw 22%, Morton 8%.

How many goals are expected in Stenhousemuir vs Morton?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Stenhousemuir 1.84 · Morton 0.48), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stenhousemuir vs Morton?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.