Football · Scotland Championship · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Dunfermline vs Ayr
Team pages: Dunfermline · Ayr
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Dunfermline1.25
Ayr1.08
1X2
Dunfermline
Draw
Ayr
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dunfermline
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Ayr
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dunfermline
2–4
Ayr
(6 last)
- Ayr0-3Dunfermline
- Dunfermline2-3Ayr
- Ayr0-1Dunfermline
- Dunfermline0-1Ayr
- Ayr3-0Dunfermline
- Dunfermline0-2Ayr
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ayr: 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunfermline | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunfermline 2–0–4 Ayr
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Dunfermline |
| 20/12/25 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Ayr |
| 31/10/25 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dunfermline |
| 23/09/25 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ayr |
| 29/03/25 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Dunfermline |
| 14/01/25 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ayr |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Livingston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Partick | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Raith | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Morton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunfermline
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Kelty Hearts UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Clyde UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Botosani Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Celtic Scotland FA Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Ayr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Alloa Scotland League Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Falkirk Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Stranraer Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Dumbarton UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Glenafton Athletic FC Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunfermline vs Ayr?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunfermline win (39%). Probabilities: Dunfermline 39%, draw 31%, Ayr 31%.
How many goals are expected in Dunfermline vs Ayr?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Dunfermline 1.25 · Ayr 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunfermline vs Ayr?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.