Football · Scotland Championship · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Morton vs Partick

Team pages: Morton · Partick

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Morton0.79
Partick1.72
1X2
16% 25% 59%
Morton Draw Partick
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Morton 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLDDLLLL
Partick 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDWDLDWWDD
Head-to-head
Morton 0–3–3 Partick (6 last)
  • Morton1-2Partick
  • Partick3-2Morton
  • Morton1-1Partick
  • Partick1-1Morton
  • Morton0-1Partick
  • Partick2-2Morton
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Morton 1403 · Partick 1552
MortonDrawPartick
Our model16%26%58%
Market17%23%60%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partick (rating 1403 vs 1552).
  • H2H favours Partick: 3-3-0.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MortonPartick
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.81.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.50.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 43.4 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.22.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Morton 033 Partick

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/26
Scotland Championship
Morton1-2
HT 1-1
Partick
03/01/26
Scotland Championship
Partick3-2
HT 0-2
Morton
11/10/25
Scotland Championship
Morton1-1
HT 1-0
Partick
09/08/25
Scotland Championship
Partick1-1
HT 0-1
Morton
29/03/25
Scotland Championship
Morton0-1
HT 0-0
Partick
01/02/25
Scotland Championship
Partick2-2
HT 0-1
Morton

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Arbroath 000 000
1 Ayr 000 000
1 Dunfermline 000 000
1 Morton 000 000
1 Inverness CT 000 000
1 Livingston 000 000
1 Partick 000 000
1 Queen's Park 000 000
1 Raith 000 000
1 Stenhousemuir 000 000

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMortonPartick
Queen's Park 0-0 D 1-1 D
Dunfermline 1-3 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Partick (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Morton

LLDLDDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Inverness CT
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-1 21 L
18/07 St Johnstone
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-3 05 L
14/07 East Fife
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 54 L
11/07 Linlithgow Rose
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 65 L
04/07 Stranraer
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 21 D
01/05 Airdrieonians
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-1 48 D
25/04 Ross County
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-4 43 L
18/04 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 112 D
11/04 Raith
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-3 22 L
04/04 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-3 41 L

Partick

DDWDLDWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League Cup
1-2 2-2 173 D
18/07 Livingston
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-1 45 D
14/07 Forfar
Scotland League Cup
3-0 4-0 102 W
11/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
3-0 6-0 121 W
27/06 Pollok
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 55 L
21/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 42 D
15/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 2-1 72 W
12/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 21 D
01/05 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 81 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Morton vs Partick?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partick win (59%). Probabilities: Morton 16%, draw 25%, Partick 59%.

How many goals are expected in Morton vs Partick?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Morton 0.79 · Partick 1.72), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Morton vs Partick?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.