Football · Scotland Championship · 07/08, 20:30

Prediction: Partick vs Livingston

Team pages: Partick · Livingston

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Partick1.18
Livingston1.06
1X2
38% 29% 32%
Partick Draw Livingston
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Partick 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWDLDWWDDW
Livingston 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DLWWWWDWDW
Head-to-head
Partick 1–2–3 Livingston (6 last)
  • Livingston1-1Partick
  • Livingston2-0Partick
  • Partick0-2Livingston
  • Livingston0-1Partick
  • Partick1-1Livingston
  • Livingston2-0Partick
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Partick 1545 · Livingston 1565
PartickDrawLivingston
Our model37%31%31%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Livingston: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PartickLivingston
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.72.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.51.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.93.7 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 02.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick 123 Livingston

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/07/26
Scotland League Cup
Livingston1-1
HT 0-0
Partick
16/05/25
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
Livingston2-0
HT 1-0
Partick
13/05/25
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
Partick0-2
HT 0-1
Livingston
02/05/25
Scotland Championship
Livingston0-1
HT 0-1
Partick
28/02/25
Scotland Championship
Partick1-1
HT 1-0
Livingston
13/12/24
Scotland Championship
Livingston2-0
HT 1-0
Partick

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ayr 1100 203
1 Livingston 1100 203
3 Partick 1100 103
4 Raith 1010 111
4 Stenhousemuir 1010 111
6 Dunfermline 1010 001
6 Inverness CT 1010 001
8 Morton 1001 010
9 Arbroath 1001 020
9 Queen's Park 1001 020

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPartickLivingston
Stenhousemuir 2-2 D 0-0 D
Forfar 4-0 W 8-0 W
Brechin 6-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Partick

DWDLDWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-0 15 W
21/07 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League Cup
1-2 2-2 173 D
18/07 Livingston
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-1 45 D
14/07 Forfar
Scotland League Cup
3-0 4-0 102 W
11/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
3-0 6-0 121 W
27/06 Pollok
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 55 L
21/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 42 D
15/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
0-1 2-1 72 W
12/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 21 D

Livingston

DLWWWWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
0-0 2-0 92 W
25/07 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-0 43 D
21/07 Forfar
Scotland League Cup
4-0 8-0 61 W
18/07 Partick
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-1 65 D
14/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 104 W
10/07 Hearts
UK Friendlies
2-1 2-1 30 W
30/06 Alloa
UK Friendlies
2-0 3-0 70 W
27/06 Dundee
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-0 50 W
17/05 Kilmarnock
Scotland Premiership
1-2 1-4 63 L
12/05 Dundee Utd
Scotland Premiership
0-0 0-0 86 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Partick vs Livingston?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Partick win (38%). Probabilities: Partick 38%, draw 29%, Livingston 32%.

How many goals are expected in Partick vs Livingston?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Partick 1.18 · Livingston 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Partick vs Livingston?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.