Football · Scotland Championship · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Livingston vs Dunfermline

Team pages: Livingston · Dunfermline

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Livingston1.35
Dunfermline0.74
1X2
51% 28% 20%
Livingston Draw Dunfermline
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Livingston 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWDWDWL
Dunfermline 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLWWWDDL
Head-to-head
Livingston 3–1–2 Dunfermline (6 last)
  • Dunfermline1-0Livingston
  • Livingston0-0Dunfermline
  • Dunfermline0-2Livingston
  • Dunfermline3-0Livingston
  • Livingston2-0Dunfermline
  • Livingston1-0Dunfermline
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Livingston 1550 · Dunfermline 1537
LivingstonDrawDunfermline
Our model50%31%19%
Market52%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Livingston: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LivingstonDunfermline
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 0.81.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.50.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.52.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 02 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Livingston 312 Dunfermline

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/25
Scotland Championship
Dunfermline1-0
HT 1-0
Livingston
15/02/25
Scotland Championship
Livingston0-0
HT 0-0
Dunfermline
05/02/25
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Dunfermline0-2
HT 0-1
Livingston
29/10/24
Scotland Championship
Dunfermline3-0
HT 1-0
Livingston
03/08/24
Scotland Championship
Livingston2-0
HT 0-0
Dunfermline
20/07/24
Scotland League Cup
Livingston1-0
HT 1-0
Dunfermline

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Partick 2200 306
2 Ayr 2110 314
2 Stenhousemuir 2110 314
4 Raith 2110 324
5 Livingston 2101 223
6 Dunfermline 2020 112
7 Inverness CT 2020 002
8 Arbroath 2011 021
9 Queen's Park 2002 140
10 Morton 2002 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Livingston

LWWWWDWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 94 L
01/08 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
0-0 2-0 92 W
25/07 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-0 43 D
21/07 Forfar
Scotland League Cup
4-0 8-0 61 W
18/07 Partick
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-1 65 D
14/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 104 W
10/07 Hearts
UK Friendlies
2-1 2-1 30 W
30/06 Alloa
UK Friendlies
2-0 3-0 70 W
27/06 Dundee
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-0 50 W
17/05 Kilmarnock
Scotland Premiership
1-2 1-4 63 L

Dunfermline

LWWLWWWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Ross County
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-2 73 L
08/08 Ayr
Scotland Championship
1-1 1-1 121 D
01/08 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 22 D
26/07 St Mirren
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-0 56 W
21/07 Cove Rangers
Scotland League Cup
3-0 5-0 82 W
14/07 Dumbarton
Scotland League Cup
2-0 4-1 111 W
11/07 East Kilbride
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-3 33 L
04/07 Kelty Hearts
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-0 10 W
27/06 Clyde
UK Friendlies
2-1 2-1 30 W
25/06 FC Botosani
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Livingston vs Dunfermline?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Livingston win (51%). Probabilities: Livingston 51%, draw 28%, Dunfermline 20%.

How many goals are expected in Livingston vs Dunfermline?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Livingston 1.35 · Dunfermline 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Livingston vs Dunfermline?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.