Prediction: Dunfermline vs Raith
Team pages: Dunfermline · Raith
- Dunfermline3-0Raith
- Raith1-2Dunfermline
- Dunfermline2-0Raith
- Raith2-0Dunfermline
- Raith2-0Dunfermline
- Dunfermline3-1Raith
| Dunfermline | Draw | Raith | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Dunfermline: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunfermline | Raith | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunfermline 4–0–2 Raith
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Raith |
| 27/12/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Dunfermline |
| 17/10/25 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Raith |
| 22/08/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dunfermline |
| 14/03/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dunfermline |
| 01/02/25 Scotland Championship | Dunfermline | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Raith |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Raith | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Partick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Livingston | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Ayr | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Inverness CT | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Dunfermline | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 9 | Morton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunfermline | Raith |
|---|---|---|
| Ayr | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Arbroath | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Queen's Park | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| St Johnstone | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Partick | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Morton | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Dunfermline (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunfermline
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/04 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Raith
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 27/03 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/03 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunfermline vs Raith?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Raith win (37%). Probabilities: Dunfermline 34%, draw 30%, Raith 37%.
How many goals are expected in Dunfermline vs Raith?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Dunfermline 1.14 · Raith 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunfermline vs Raith?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.