Football · Scotland Championship · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir

Team pages: Queen's Park · Stenhousemuir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

Queen's Park1.12

Stenhousemuir0.88

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Queen's Park Draw Stenhousemuir

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Queen's Park 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWLWLL

Stenhousemuir 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDDDWD

Head-to-head

Queen's Park 4–2–0 Stenhousemuir (6 last)

Stenhousemuir1-3Queen's Park
Queen's Park3-1Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir0-0Queen's Park
Queen's Park2-1Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir0-3Queen's Park
Queen's Park1-1Stenhousemuir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queen's Park 1534 · Stenhousemuir 1534

	Queen's Park	Draw	Stenhousemuir
Our model	40%	33%	27%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Queen's Park: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Queen's Park	Stenhousemuir
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	1.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.24
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.35 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:04 +4’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:08	2.23	3.11	3.37
17:41 +4’	2.24▲	3.11	3.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Queen's Park 4–2–0 Stenhousemuir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/21 Scotland League Two	Stenhousemuir	1-3 HT 0-2	Queen's Park
28/11/20 Scotland League Two	Queen's Park	3-1 HT 1-1	Stenhousemuir
07/03/20 Scotland League Two	Stenhousemuir	0-0 HT 0-0	Queen's Park
04/01/20 Scotland League Two	Queen's Park	2-1 HT 2-0	Stenhousemuir
02/11/19 Scotland League Two	Stenhousemuir	0-3 HT 0-1	Queen's Park
10/08/19 Scotland League Two	Queen's Park	1-1 HT 0-0	Stenhousemuir

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Partick	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
2	Ayr	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
2	Stenhousemuir	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
4	Raith	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	Livingston	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
6	Dunfermline	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
7	Inverness CT	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
8	Arbroath	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
9	Queen's Park	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
10	Morton	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Queen's Park	Stenhousemuir
Raith	1-2 L	1-1 D
Livingston	0-2 L	0-0 D
Queen of South	3-1 W	1-1 D
Partick	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Stenhousemuir (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Queen's Park

DWDWWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Raith Scotland Championship	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
01/08	Livingston Scotland Championship	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
25/07	Queen of South Scotland League Cup	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
18/07	Aberdeen Scotland League Cup	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
14/07	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Cup	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
11/07	Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
30/06	Clyde UK Friendlies	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
27/06	Annan Athletic UK Friendlies	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
26/06	Gretna 2008 UK Friendlies	5-0	5-0	15	0	W
01/05	Partick Scotland Championship	0-1	1-1	7	1	D

Stenhousemuir

DWLWWDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Motherwell Scotland League Cup	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
08/08	Morton Scotland Championship	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
01/08	Raith Scotland Championship	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
25/07	Livingston Scotland League Cup	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
21/07	Partick Scotland League Cup	2-1	2-2	1	3	D
18/07	Brechin Scotland League Cup	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
11/07	Forfar Scotland League Cup	0-0	2-0	13	0	W
16/05	Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs	0-0	0-1	0	11	L
13/05	Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
09/05	Queen of South Scotland Championship Play-Offs	1-1	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Queen's Park win (41%). Probabilities: Queen's Park 41%, draw 30%, Stenhousemuir 29%.

How many goals are expected in Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir?

The model expects 2 goals (Queen's Park 1.12 · Stenhousemuir 0.88), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.