Prediction: Raith vs Ayr
- Raith3-0Ayr
- Ayr2-1Raith
- Raith0-2Ayr
- Ayr0-1Raith
- Raith1-0Ayr
- Ayr3-0Raith
| Raith | Draw | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raith | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 2.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 44/44/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raith 3–0–3 Ayr
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Scotland Championship | Raith | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Ayr |
| 31/01/26 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Raith |
| 11/10/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Ayr |
| 09/08/25 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Raith |
| 05/04/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ayr |
| 04/01/25 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Raith |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Ayr | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Raith | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Livingston | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 7 | Inverness CT | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | Morton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raith | Ayr |
|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| FC Edinburgh | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Raith (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raith
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | FC Edinburgh UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Hamilton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 01/05 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
Ayr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Alloa Scotland League Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Falkirk Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Stranraer Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Dumbarton UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Glenafton Athletic FC Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raith vs Ayr?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Raith win (48%). Probabilities: Raith 48%, draw 28%, Ayr 24%.
How many goals are expected in Raith vs Ayr?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Raith 1.46 · Ayr 0.95), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Raith vs Ayr?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.