Football · Scotland Championship · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Inverness CT vs Dunfermline

Team pages: Inverness CT · Dunfermline

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Inverness CT1.11
Dunfermline1.11
1X2
35% 30% 35%
Inverness CT Draw Dunfermline
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Inverness CT 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWLLWDWWW
Dunfermline 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLLLWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Inverness CT 1–5–0 Dunfermline (6 last)
  • Dunfermline1-1Inverness CT
  • Inverness CT0-0Dunfermline
  • Dunfermline1-1Inverness CT
  • Inverness CT1-1Dunfermline
  • Inverness CT2-0Dunfermline
  • Dunfermline1-1Inverness CT
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inverness CT 1557 · Dunfermline 1548
Inverness CTDrawDunfermline
Our model34%32%34%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inverness CTDunfermline
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.11.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.31 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.82.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.8 / 01.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inverness CT 150 Dunfermline

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/04/24
Scotland Championship
Dunfermline1-1
HT 1-0
Inverness CT
27/02/24
Scotland Championship
Inverness CT0-0
HT 0-0
Dunfermline
18/11/23
Scotland Championship
Dunfermline1-1
HT 0-1
Inverness CT
02/09/23
Scotland Championship
Inverness CT1-1
HT 1-0
Dunfermline
26/03/22
Scotland Championship
Inverness CT2-0
HT 0-0
Dunfermline
22/01/22
Scotland Championship
Dunfermline1-1
HT 0-1
Inverness CT

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Arbroath 000 000
1 Ayr 000 000
1 Dunfermline 000 000
1 Morton 000 000
1 Inverness CT 000 000
1 Livingston 000 000
1 Partick 000 000
1 Queen's Park 000 000
1 Raith 000 000
1 Stenhousemuir 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inverness CT

DWWLLWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Morton
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-0 21 W
21/07 St Johnstone
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-0 52 W
18/07 Linlithgow Rose
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 130 W
11/07 East Fife
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-1 76 D
07/07 Cove Rangers
UK Friendlies
1-1 4-1 30 W
04/07 Ross County
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-4 33 L
03/07 Forres Mechanics
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-2 L
27/06 Clachnacuddin
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-1 20 W
02/05 Hamilton
Scotland League One
2-0 2-1 72 W
25/04 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 102 D

Dunfermline

DLLLWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 St Mirren
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-0 56 W
21/07 Cove Rangers
Scotland League Cup
3-0 5-0 82 W
14/07 Dumbarton
Scotland League Cup
2-0 4-1 111 W
11/07 East Kilbride
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-3 33 L
04/07 Kelty Hearts
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-0 10 W
27/06 Clyde
UK Friendlies
2-1 2-1 30 W
25/06 FC Botosani
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
23/05 Celtic
Scotland FA Cup
0-2 1-3 22 L
15/05 Partick
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-0 1-2 42 L
12/05 Partick
Scotland Premiership Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 81 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inverness CT win (35%). Probabilities: Inverness CT 35%, draw 30%, Dunfermline 35%.

How many goals are expected in Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Inverness CT 1.11 · Dunfermline 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.