Football · Scotland Championship · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Livingston vs Queen's Park

Team pages: Livingston · Queen's Park

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Livingston1.7

Queen's Park0.68

1X2

61% 24% 14%

Livingston Draw Queen's Park

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Livingston 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWWDWD

Queen's Park 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Livingston 3–2–1 Queen's Park (6 last)

Livingston3-0Queen's Park
Queen's Park0-5Livingston
Queen's Park2-0Livingston
Livingston1-1Queen's Park
Queen's Park1-1Livingston
Queen's Park0-1Livingston

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Livingston 1546 · Queen's Park 1536

	Livingston	Draw	Queen's Park
Our model	61%	26%	14%
Market	62%	23%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Livingston: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Livingston	Queen's Park
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	3.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	1.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X3.90

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.45
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.26
2	6.00 → 6.00	Pinn 6.70 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:10 +14’	1.44	3.90	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +1’	1.44	4.20	6.54
15:20	1.45▲	4.26▲	6.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Livingston 3–2–1 Queen's Park

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/25 Scotland Championship	Livingston	3-0 HT 3-0	Queen's Park
30/03/25 Scotland League Challenge Cup	Queen's Park	0-5 HT 0-2	Livingston
04/01/25 Scotland Championship	Queen's Park	2-0 HT 1-0	Livingston
02/11/24 Scotland Championship	Livingston	1-1 HT 0-0	Queen's Park
09/08/24 Scotland Championship	Queen's Park	1-1 HT 1-0	Livingston
10/07/23 Club Friendly List	Queen's Park	0-1 HT 0-0	Livingston

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Arbroath	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ayr	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunfermline	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Morton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Inverness CT	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Livingston	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Partick	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Queen's Park	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Raith	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stenhousemuir	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Livingston

LDLWWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Stenhousemuir Scotland League Cup	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
21/07	Forfar Scotland League Cup	4-0	8-0	6	1	W
18/07	Partick Scotland League Cup	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
14/07	Brechin Scotland League Cup	2-0	2-0	10	4	W
10/07	Hearts UK Friendlies	2-1	2-1	3	0	W
30/06	Alloa UK Friendlies	2-0	3-0	7	0	W
27/06	Dundee UK Friendlies	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
17/05	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	1-2	1-4	6	3	L
12/05	Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
09/05	Dundee Scotland Premiership	0-1	0-3	5	2	L

Queen's Park

DLDWDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Queen of South Scotland League Cup	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
18/07	Aberdeen Scotland League Cup	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
14/07	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Cup	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
11/07	Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
30/06	Clyde UK Friendlies	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
27/06	Annan Athletic UK Friendlies	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
26/06	Gretna 2008 UK Friendlies	5-0	5-0	15	0	W
01/05	Partick Scotland Championship	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
25/04	Dunfermline Scotland Championship	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
18/04	Morton Scotland Championship	0-0	0-0	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Livingston vs Queen's Park?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Livingston win (61%). Probabilities: Livingston 61%, draw 24%, Queen's Park 14%.

How many goals are expected in Livingston vs Queen's Park?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Livingston 1.7 · Queen's Park 0.68), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Livingston vs Queen's Park?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.