Prediction: Arbroath vs Queen's Park
Team pages: Arbroath · Queen's Park
- Arbroath1-0Queen's Park
- Queen's Park2-1Arbroath
- Arbroath4-1Queen's Park
- Queen's Park1-3Arbroath
- Arbroath0-5Queen's Park
- Queen's Park6-0Arbroath
| Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arbroath (rating 1489 vs 1439).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arbroath | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arbroath 3–0–3 Queen's Park
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Queen's Park |
| 31/01/26 Scotland Championship | Queen's Park | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Arbroath |
| 11/10/25 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Queen's Park |
| 09/08/25 Scotland Championship | Queen's Park | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Arbroath |
| 27/04/24 Scotland Championship | Arbroath | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Queen's Park |
| 27/02/24 Scotland Championship | Queen's Park | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Arbroath |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Livingston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
| 7 | Inverness CT | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Ayr | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arbroath | Queen's Park |
|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Raith | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Dunfermline | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Livingston | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Morton | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Ayr | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Partick | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Arbroath (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arbroath
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Queen's Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arbroath vs Queen's Park?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arbroath win (50%). Probabilities: Arbroath 50%, draw 28%, Queen's Park 22%.
How many goals are expected in Arbroath vs Queen's Park?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Arbroath 1.35 · Queen's Park 0.79), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arbroath vs Queen's Park?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.