Football · Scotland Championship · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Partick vs Arbroath

Team pages: Partick · Arbroath

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.86Total
Partick1.39
Arbroath0.48
1X2
61% 26% 13%
Partick Draw Arbroath
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Partick 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWWDDWLD
Arbroath 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDWWDLLW
Head-to-head
Partick 2–3–1 Arbroath (6 last)
  • Arbroath0-0Partick
  • Partick0-0Arbroath
  • Arbroath2-1Partick
  • Partick1-1Arbroath
  • Arbroath0-1Partick
  • Partick4-0Arbroath
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Partick 1506 · Arbroath 1501
PartickDrawArbroath
Our model59%30%12%
Market62%23%15%
Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Partick: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PartickArbroath
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.50.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.10.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 7.51.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 02.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Partick 2–3–1 Arbroath

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Scotland Championship
Arbroath0-0
HT 0-0
Partick
28/02/26
Scotland Championship
Partick0-0
HT 0-0
Arbroath
13/12/25
Scotland Championship
Arbroath2-1
HT 0-0
Partick
04/10/25
Scotland Championship
Partick1-1
HT 1-0
Arbroath
23/03/24
Scotland Championship
Arbroath0-1
HT 0-1
Partick
06/01/24
Scotland Championship
Partick4-0
HT 1-0
Arbroath

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stenhousemuir 8710 12222
2 Raith 8422 11514
3 Livingston 8413 12713
4 Partick 7331 5212
5 Dunfermline 7331 6412
6 Arbroath 8323 61011
7 Inverness CT 8242 9910
8 Ayr 8224 798
9 Queen's Park 8116 4134
10 Morton 8017 4151

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPartickArbroath
Raith 0-0 D 0-4 L
Stenhousemuir 0-1 L 0-1 L
Ayr 1-0 W 0-2 L
Queen's Park 0-0 D 2-1 W
Inverness CT 1-1 D 0-0 D
Livingston 2-0 W 1-0 W
Morton 1-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Partick (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Partick

DDDWWDDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 93 D
15/09 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-1 125 L
05/09 Ayr
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-0 55 W
29/08 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 193 D
21/08 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 33 D
07/08 Livingston
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-0 94 W
01/08 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-0 15 W
01/05 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 81 D
25/04 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 31 D
18/04 Airdrieonians
Scotland Championship
0-1 2-2 68 D

Arbroath

DDLDWWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/09 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
2-0 2-1 14 W
19/09 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 45 L
12/09 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-3 0-4 13 L
05/09 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-1 32 D
29/08 Livingston
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-0 26 W
22/08 Morton
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-1 63 W
08/08 Inverness CT
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 16 D
01/08 Ayr
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 70 L
01/05 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 112 D
25/04 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 51 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Partick vs Arbroath?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Partick win (61%). Probabilities: Partick 61%, draw 26%, Arbroath 13%.

How many goals are expected in Partick vs Arbroath?

The model expects 1.86 goals (Partick 1.39 · Arbroath 0.48), with a 60% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Partick vs Arbroath?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.