Football · Copa do Brazil Women · 21/07, 00:00
Prediction: Flamengo (W) vs 3B Sport AM (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Flamengo (W)2.81
3B Sport AM (W)0.81
1X2
Flamengo (W)
Draw
3B Sport AM (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Flamengo (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
3B Sport AM (W)
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Flamengo (W)
1–0
3B Sport AM (W)
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flamengo (W) 1524 · 3B Sport AM (W) 1522
| Flamengo (W) | Draw | 3B Sport AM (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 87% | 8% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flamengo (W) | 3B Sport AM (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 1.9 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Flamengo (W) 1–0–0 3B Sport AM (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/25 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Flamengo (W) | 5-1 HT 3-1 | 3B Sport AM (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flamengo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Ladies Cup |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | Club Atletico Penarol (W) Brazil Ladies Cup |
4-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/05 | Sao Joao PI (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Fluminense RJ (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 05/05 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | EC Vitoria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 31/03 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
3B Sport AM (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ceara (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Doce Mel EC (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Sociedade Acao (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Vila Nova GO (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | Vasco da Gama (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
2-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Taubate (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Sport Recife (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | Itabirito (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Paysandu (W) Brazil Serie A2 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flamengo (W) vs 3B Sport AM (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Flamengo (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Flamengo (W) 83%, draw 11%, 3B Sport AM (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Flamengo (W) vs 3B Sport AM (W)?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Flamengo (W) 2.81 · 3B Sport AM (W) 0.81), with a 61% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Flamengo (W) vs 3B Sport AM (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.