Football · Copa do Brazil Women · 21/07, 21:30

Prediction: Fluminense RJ (W) vs Cruzeiro (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Fluminense RJ (W)1.29
Cruzeiro (W)1.82
1X2
26% 26% 48%
Fluminense RJ (W) Draw Cruzeiro (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fluminense RJ (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLWLWDLLDW
Cruzeiro (W) 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWDLDDWWDW
Head-to-head
Fluminense RJ (W) 0–4 Cruzeiro (W) (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fluminense RJ (W) 1489 · Cruzeiro (W) 1541
Fluminense RJ (W)DrawCruzeiro (W)
Our model26%25%49%
Market25%27%48%
Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruzeiro (W) (rating 1489 vs 1541).
  • H2H favours Cruzeiro (W): 4-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fluminense RJ (W)Cruzeiro (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.22.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.61.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.33 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.23.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fluminense RJ (W) 004 Cruzeiro (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/03/26
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Cruzeiro (W)3-2
HT 3-0
Fluminense RJ (W)
27/03/25
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Fluminense RJ (W)1-2
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro (W)
09/06/24
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Cruzeiro (W)2-0
HT 2-0
Fluminense RJ (W)
08/05/19
Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women
Cruzeiro (W)3-0
HT 2-0
Fluminense RJ (W)

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFluminense RJ (W)Cruzeiro (W)
Flamengo (W) 0-1 L 1-1 D
EC Juventude (W) 1-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fluminense RJ (W)

DLWLWDLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/05 Minas Brasilia DF (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 2-0 88 W
23/05 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 3-3 54 D
16/05 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-1 16 L
09/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-2 43 L
01/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-1 97 D
26/04 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-0 43 W
21/04 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-2 36 L
01/04 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 115 W
26/03 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-3 2-3 73 L
24/03 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 12 D

Cruzeiro (W)

DWDLDDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/05 Doce Mel EC (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 5-0 71 W
24/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 2-2 68 D
19/05 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-1 3-2 63 W
09/05 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 4-0 80 W
01/05 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 85 D
26/04 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-1 2-2 65 D
22/04 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-2 74 L
31/03 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-1 34 D
26/03 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-0 3-2 53 W
21/03 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-1 56 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fluminense RJ (W) vs Cruzeiro (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cruzeiro (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Fluminense RJ (W) 26%, draw 26%, Cruzeiro (W) 48%.

How many goals are expected in Fluminense RJ (W) vs Cruzeiro (W)?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Fluminense RJ (W) 1.29 · Cruzeiro (W) 1.82), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fluminense RJ (W) vs Cruzeiro (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.