Football · Copa do Brazil Women · 23/07, 00:00

Prediction: Botafogo (W) vs Bragantino (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Botafogo (W)0.96
Bragantino (W)1.98
1X2
18% 22% 61%
Botafogo (W) Draw Bragantino (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Botafogo (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLLLWL
Bragantino (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLLWWLWD
Head-to-head
Botafogo (W) 0–4 Bragantino (W) (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Botafogo (W) 1407 · Bragantino (W) 1514
Botafogo (W)DrawBragantino (W)
Our model17%23%60%
Market18%20%62%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bragantino (W) (rating 1407 vs 1514).
  • H2H favours Bragantino (W): 4-0-0.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Botafogo (W)Bragantino (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 21.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.70.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.62.9 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.23.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo (W) 004 Bragantino (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Botafogo (W)0-3
HT 0-0
Bragantino (W)
06/08/25
Copa do Brazil Women
Bragantino (W)2-1
HT 1-0
Botafogo (W)
09/06/24
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Bragantino (W)2-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo (W)
23/04/23
Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women
Botafogo (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Bragantino (W)

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBotafogo (W)Bragantino (W)
Palmeiras (W) 0-3 L 1-2 L
Santos (W) 1-1 D 1-0 W
Corinthians (W) 1-3 L 0-6 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bragantino (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Botafogo (W)

LLDLLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-2 43 L
27/05 EC Juventude (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 3-0 15 W
24/05 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-3 125 L
19/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-3 26 L
11/05 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 71 L
03/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-3 05 L
28/04 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-2 68 L
04/04 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-1 62 D
27/03 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 1-3 23 L
21/03 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-2 65 L

Bragantino (W)

DWDLLWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Mirassol (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 1-1 62 D
27/05 Sao Jose SP (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 4-1 71 W
24/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-2 1-2 56 L
22/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 1-0 52 W
17/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 47 W
14/05 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-3 0-6 81 L
10/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-3 74 L
06/05 Taubate (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-1 1-1 100 D
03/05 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 3-0 65 W
26/04 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-2 2-2 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Botafogo (W) vs Bragantino (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bragantino (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Botafogo (W) 18%, draw 22%, Bragantino (W) 61%.

How many goals are expected in Botafogo (W) vs Bragantino (W)?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Botafogo (W) 0.96 · Bragantino (W) 1.98), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Botafogo (W) vs Bragantino (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.