Football · Copa do Brazil Women · 21/07, 01:00

Prediction: Ferroviaria (W) vs Corinthians (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Ferroviaria (W)1.18
Corinthians (W)1.98
1X2
21% 25% 54%
Ferroviaria (W) Draw Corinthians (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ferroviaria (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWDWWWWW
Corinthians (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLDWW
Head-to-head
Ferroviaria (W) 0–3–3 Corinthians (W) (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferroviaria (W) 1584 · Corinthians (W) 1588
Ferroviaria (W)DrawCorinthians (W)
Our model21%24%55%
Market20%26%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Corinthians (W): 3-3-0.
  • High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ferroviaria (W)Corinthians (W)
Goals for / against (FT)3 / 0.92.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.41.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 72.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.23.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferroviaria (W) 033 Corinthians (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Corinthians (W)3-1
HT 1-0
Ferroviaria (W)
13/11/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Ferroviaria (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians (W)
16/10/25
Copa Libertadores Women
Corinthians (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Ferroviaria (W)
12/08/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Ferroviaria (W)
12/05/25
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Ferroviaria (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians (W)
01/07/24
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)2-1
HT 1-1
Ferroviaria (W)

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFerroviaria (W)Corinthians (W)
Palmeiras (W) 2-1 W 1-0 W
Santos (W) 2-1 W 2-2 D
Mixto EC (W) 3-0 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferroviaria (W) (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferroviaria (W)

WLWWDWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/05 UD Alagoana (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
5-0 8-0 153 W
24/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 3-2 66 W
21/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-1 2-1 24 W
19/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-0 82 W
14/05 Mirassol (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 4-0 43 W
12/05 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-1 410 D
07/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 2-1 64 W
01/05 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 3-0 92 W
25/04 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-3 35 L
21/04 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-1 4-1 130 W

Corinthians (W)

WWWLWWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/05 Palmeiras (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-0 46 W
26/05 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-0 4-1 87 W
22/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-1 2-2 71 D
19/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-2 2-3 43 L
14/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
3-0 6-0 51 W
12/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 2-1 13 W
08/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-2 1-2 63 L
01/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-0 95 W
25/04 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 3-1 55 W
21/04 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 1-0 81 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferroviaria (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Corinthians (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Ferroviaria (W) 21%, draw 25%, Corinthians (W) 54%.

How many goals are expected in Ferroviaria (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Ferroviaria (W) 1.18 · Corinthians (W) 1.98), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferroviaria (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.