Football · Copa do Brazil Women · 20/07, 21:00
Prediction: Coritiba (W) vs Internacional (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Coritiba (W)0.53
Internacional (W)1.8
1X2
Coritiba (W)
Draw
Internacional (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Coritiba (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Internacional (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coritiba (W) 1605 · Internacional (W) 1519
| Coritiba (W) | Draw | Internacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 23% | 67% |
| Market | 13% | 16% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coritiba (W) (rating 1605 vs 1519).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coritiba (W) | Internacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/63/0% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.6 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.7 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coritiba (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Heips (W) Brazil Serie A3 Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Heips (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Heips (W) Brazil Serie A3 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Rio Negro RR (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Mauaense (W) Brazil Serie A3 Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Mixto PB (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Criciuma (W) Brazil Serie A3 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Brasil de Farroupilha (W) Brazil Serie A3 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/04 | Brasil de Farroupilha (W) Brazil Serie A3 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Criciuma (W) Brazil Serie A3 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Internacional (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Gremio (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Flamengo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Mixto EC (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Gremio (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/03 | Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coritiba (W) vs Internacional (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Internacional (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Coritiba (W) 11%, draw 20%, Internacional (W) 69%.
How many goals are expected in Coritiba (W) vs Internacional (W)?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Coritiba (W) 0.53 · Internacional (W) 1.8), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Coritiba (W) vs Internacional (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.