Prediction: Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau

Team pages: Yverdon Sport FC · Aarau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Yverdon Sport FC1.7
Aarau1.32
1X2
45% 26% 29%
Yverdon Sport FC Draw Aarau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yverdon Sport FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WDWLWWDDDW
Aarau 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWWWDLDW
Head-to-head
Yverdon Sport FC 1–3–2 Aarau (6 last)
  • Aarau2-2Yverdon Sport FC
  • Yverdon Sport FC1-2Aarau
  • Yverdon Sport FC1-2Aarau
  • Aarau1-2Yverdon Sport FC
  • Yverdon Sport FC1-1Aarau
  • Yverdon Sport FC1-1Aarau
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yverdon Sport FC 1546 · Aarau 1533
Yverdon Sport FCDrawAarau
Our model45%26%29%
Market46%25%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Aarau: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.42 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.61.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.33.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 04.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yverdon Sport FC 132 Aarau

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
Switzerland Challenge League
Aarau2-2
HT 2-1
Yverdon Sport FC
30/01/26
Switzerland Challenge League
Yverdon Sport FC1-2
HT 0-1
Aarau
07/12/25
Switzerland Challenge League
Yverdon Sport FC1-2
HT 1-1
Aarau
03/10/25
Switzerland Challenge League
Aarau1-2
HT 0-1
Yverdon Sport FC
16/11/24
Club Friendly List
Yverdon Sport FC1-1
HT 1-1
Aarau
23/05/23
Switzerland Challenge League
Yverdon Sport FC1-1
HT 1-1
Aarau

Standings · Switzerland Challenge League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4310 7210
2 Neuchatel Xamax 4301 759
3 Winterthur 4211 947
4 Kriens 4202 656
5 Yverdon Sport FC 3120 535
6 Etoile Carouge 4121 425
7 Aarau 3111 354
8 FC Rapperswil-Jona 4103 6103
9 Wil 1900 4103 6133
10 Stade Nyonnais 4013 261

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYverdon Sport FCAarau
Etoile Carouge 1-1 D 0-3 L
Wil 1900 1-0 W 2-2 D
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3-0 W 1-1 D
Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 D 3-1 W
FC Vaduz 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Yverdon Sport FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yverdon Sport FC

WDWLWWDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Kriens
Switzerland Challenge League
1-0 2-0 76 W
31/07 Etoile Carouge
Switzerland Challenge League
1-1 1-1 53 D
24/07 Winterthur
Switzerland Challenge League
0-0 2-2 44 D
15/05 Aarau
Switzerland Challenge League
1-2 2-2 04 D
11/05 FC Rapperswil-Jona
Switzerland Challenge League
0-0 3-1 84 W
08/05 Wil 1900
Switzerland Challenge League
1-0 1-0 63 W
03/05 Etoile Carouge
Switzerland Challenge League
2-2 3-5 34 L
26/04 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Switzerland Challenge League
2-0 3-0 46 W
22/04 Neuchatel Xamax
Switzerland Challenge League
1-0 2-2 45 D
10/04 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Challenge League
1-1 2-1 24 W

Aarau

DWDWWWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Stade Nyonnais
Switzerland Challenge League
1-0 2-1 87 W
01/08 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Switzerland Challenge League
1-0 1-1 36 D
24/07 Etoile Carouge
Switzerland Challenge League
0-0 0-3 14 L
15/05 Yverdon Sport FC
Switzerland Challenge League
2-1 2-2 54 D
11/05 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Challenge League
1-1 2-1 58 W
08/05 Stade Nyonnais
Switzerland Challenge League
5-1 5-1 61 W
01/05 Neuchatel Xamax
Switzerland Challenge League
1-0 3-1 75 W
25/04 Wil 1900
Switzerland Challenge League
1-2 2-2 42 D
22/04 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Switzerland Challenge League
0-0 3-0 42 W
11/04 AC Bellinzona
Switzerland Challenge League
0-0 0-0 108 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yverdon Sport FC win (45%). Probabilities: Yverdon Sport FC 45%, draw 26%, Aarau 29%.

How many goals are expected in Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Yverdon Sport FC 1.7 · Aarau 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.