Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 01/09, 19:30
Prediction: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge
Team pages: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · Etoile Carouge
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.01
Etoile Carouge1.07
1X2
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Draw
Etoile Carouge
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Etoile Carouge
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
4–1–1
Etoile Carouge
(6 last)
- Etoile Carouge1-1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0-1Etoile Carouge
- Etoile Carouge1-2Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2-0Etoile Carouge
- Etoile Carouge1-2Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-0Etoile Carouge
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (rating 1574 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Etoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4–1–1 Etoile Carouge
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 28/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Etoile Carouge |
| 19/12/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 30/08/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Etoile Carouge |
| 02/05/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 31/01/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Etoile Carouge |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Kriens | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport FC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Neuchatel Xamax | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Winterthur | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Etoile Carouge | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Aarau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Wil 1900 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Etoile Carouge |
|---|---|---|
| Neuchatel Xamax | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Aarau | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Stade Nyonnais | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| AC Bellinzona | 5-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Vaduz | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Yverdon Sport FC | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 07/08 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
Etoile Carouge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 07/08 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 11/05 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
2-2 | 5-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win (58%). Probabilities: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 58%, draw 23%, Etoile Carouge 19%.
How many goals are expected in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.01 · Etoile Carouge 1.07), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.