Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 28/08, 20:15

Prediction: Etoile Carouge vs FC Rapperswil-Jona

Team pages: Etoile Carouge · FC Rapperswil-Jona

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Etoile Carouge1.8

FC Rapperswil-Jona1.48

1X2

44% 25% 31%

Etoile Carouge Draw FC Rapperswil-Jona

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Etoile Carouge 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDWDLD

FC Rapperswil-Jona 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Etoile Carouge 2–4 FC Rapperswil-Jona (6 last)

FC Rapperswil-Jona2-1Etoile Carouge
Etoile Carouge2-1FC Rapperswil-Jona
Etoile Carouge0-2FC Rapperswil-Jona
FC Rapperswil-Jona1-0Etoile Carouge
FC Rapperswil-Jona3-1Etoile Carouge
Etoile Carouge1-0FC Rapperswil-Jona

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Rapperswil-Jona: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Etoile Carouge	FC Rapperswil-Jona
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.16 → 2.16	Pinn 2.16
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.60
2	3.07 → 3.07	Pinn 3.07

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:25 +4’	2.16	3.60	3.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Etoile Carouge 2–0–4 FC Rapperswil-Jona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Switzerland Challenge League	FC Rapperswil-Jona	2-1 HT 1-1	Etoile Carouge
30/01/26 Switzerland Challenge League	Etoile Carouge	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Rapperswil-Jona
21/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League	Etoile Carouge	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Rapperswil-Jona
25/07/25 Switzerland Challenge League	FC Rapperswil-Jona	1-0 HT 0-0	Etoile Carouge
18/05/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Rapperswil-Jona	3-1	Etoile Carouge
11/11/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Etoile Carouge	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Rapperswil-Jona

Standings · Switzerland Challenge League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
2	Neuchatel Xamax	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
3	Winterthur	4	2	1	1	9	4	7
4	Kriens	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
5	Yverdon Sport FC	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
6	Etoile Carouge	4	1	2	1	4	2	5
7	Aarau	3	1	1	1	3	5	4
8	FC Rapperswil-Jona	4	1	0	3	6	10	3
9	Wil 1900	4	1	0	3	6	13	3
10	Stade Nyonnais	4	0	1	3	2	6	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Etoile Carouge	FC Rapperswil-Jona
Stade Nyonnais	0-0 D	2-1 W
Neuchatel Xamax	0-1 L	2-3 L
Yverdon Sport FC	1-1 D	1-3 L
AC Bellinzona	2-2 D	4-2 W
FC Vaduz	1-2 L	1-2 L
Wil 1900	2-0 W	4-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Etoile Carouge

WLWLLDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	0-0	11	6	D
07/08	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
31/07	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
24/07	Aarau Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	3-0	1	4	W
15/05	AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	2-2	10	2	D
11/05	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
08/05	FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League	1-2	1-2	6	6	L
03/05	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	2-2	5-3	3	4	W
24/04	FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
17/04	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	2-0	2-0	1	4	W

FC Rapperswil-Jona

LWWLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
07/08	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
31/07	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
24/07	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	2-3	4-5	7	3	L
15/05	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
11/05	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	1-3	7	4	L
08/05	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	2-0	2-3	2	4	L
03/05	AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League	3-1	4-2	3	5	W
24/04	Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
19/04	FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League	0-2	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Etoile Carouge vs FC Rapperswil-Jona?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Etoile Carouge win (44%). Probabilities: Etoile Carouge 44%, draw 25%, FC Rapperswil-Jona 31%.

How many goals are expected in Etoile Carouge vs FC Rapperswil-Jona?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Etoile Carouge 1.8 · FC Rapperswil-Jona 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Etoile Carouge vs FC Rapperswil-Jona?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.