Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 28/08, 20:15
Prediction: Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax
Team pages: Aarau · Neuchatel Xamax
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Aarau1.77
Neuchatel Xamax1.32
1X2
Aarau
Draw
Neuchatel Xamax
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aarau
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Neuchatel Xamax
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aarau
5–1–0
Neuchatel Xamax
(6 last)
- Neuchatel Xamax1-3Aarau
- Aarau1-0Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax1-2Aarau
- Aarau2-0Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax1-1Aarau
- Aarau2-0Neuchatel Xamax
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aarau: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aarau | Neuchatel Xamax | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 2.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aarau 5–1–0 Neuchatel Xamax
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Aarau |
| 21/03/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 28/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Aarau |
| 09/08/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 11/04/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Aarau |
| 07/03/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Neuchatel Xamax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Winterthur | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Kriens | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Yverdon Sport FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Etoile Carouge | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Aarau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 9 | Wil 1900 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aarau | Neuchatel Xamax |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Etoile Carouge | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Yverdon Sport FC | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Wil 1900 | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| AC Bellinzona | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Neuchatel Xamax (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aarau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/05 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
5-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | D |
Neuchatel Xamax
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/08 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/05 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aarau win (47%). Probabilities: Aarau 47%, draw 25%, Neuchatel Xamax 28%.
How many goals are expected in Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Aarau 1.77 · Neuchatel Xamax 1.32), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.