Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 01/09, 19:30
Prediction: Neuchatel Xamax vs Yverdon Sport FC
Team pages: Neuchatel Xamax · Yverdon Sport FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Neuchatel Xamax1.56
Yverdon Sport FC1.73
1X2
Neuchatel Xamax
Draw
Yverdon Sport FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Neuchatel Xamax
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Yverdon Sport FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neuchatel Xamax
0–2–4
Yverdon Sport FC
(6 last)
- Yverdon Sport FC2-2Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax1-2Yverdon Sport FC
- Neuchatel Xamax1-2Yverdon Sport FC
- Neuchatel Xamax2-2Yverdon Sport FC
- Yverdon Sport FC3-1Neuchatel Xamax
- Yverdon Sport FC2-0Neuchatel Xamax
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Neuchatel Xamax 1498 · Yverdon Sport FC 1591
| Neuchatel Xamax | Draw | Yverdon Sport FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yverdon Sport FC (rating 1498 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Yverdon Sport FC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neuchatel Xamax | Yverdon Sport FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neuchatel Xamax 0–2–4 Yverdon Sport FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Yverdon Sport FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 03/02/26 Switzerland Cup | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Yverdon Sport FC |
| 25/01/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Yverdon Sport FC |
| 07/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Yverdon Sport FC |
| 31/08/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Yverdon Sport FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 07/04/23 Switzerland Challenge League | Yverdon Sport FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Kriens | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport FC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Neuchatel Xamax | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Winterthur | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Etoile Carouge | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Aarau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Wil 1900 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neuchatel Xamax | Yverdon Sport FC |
|---|---|---|
| Aarau | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Etoile Carouge | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Wil 1900 | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Kriens | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Yverdon Sport FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neuchatel Xamax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/08 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/05 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Yverdon Sport FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neuchatel Xamax vs Yverdon Sport FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yverdon Sport FC win (41%). Probabilities: Neuchatel Xamax 34%, draw 25%, Yverdon Sport FC 41%.
How many goals are expected in Neuchatel Xamax vs Yverdon Sport FC?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Neuchatel Xamax 1.56 · Yverdon Sport FC 1.73), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Neuchatel Xamax vs Yverdon Sport FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.