Prediction: Young Boys vs Basel

Team pages: Young Boys · Basel

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
Young Boys2.34
Basel1.32
1X2
59% 21% 20%
Young Boys Draw Basel
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Young Boys 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLLWWDWWDW
Basel 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLWLWW
Head-to-head
Young Boys 3–2–1 Basel (6 last)
  • Young Boys3-0Basel
  • Basel3-3Young Boys
  • Young Boys0-0Basel
  • Basel4-1Young Boys
  • Young Boys6-2Basel
  • Basel1-2Young Boys
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Boys (rating 1595 vs 1497).
  • H2H favours Young Boys: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Young BoysBasel
Goals for / against (FT)3.2 / 1.61.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.60.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/70/0%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.72.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.34.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Boys 321 Basel

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Switzerland Super League
Young Boys3-0
HT 0-0
Basel
04/04/26
Switzerland Super League
Basel3-3
HT 2-1
Young Boys
02/11/25
Switzerland Super League
Young Boys0-0
HT 0-0
Basel
06/08/25
Switzerland Super League
Basel4-1
HT 1-1
Young Boys
18/05/25
Switzerland Super League
Young Boys6-2
HT 2-1
Basel
16/03/25
Switzerland Super League
Basel1-2
HT 0-1
Young Boys

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lugano 3300 1129
2 Basel 4301 749
3 Young Boys 3210 1247
4 St Gallen 3210 757
5 FC Sion 3201 866
6 FC Lausanne-Sport 4121 445
7 Lucerne 4112 484
8 Servette 3102 343
9 FC Thun 3102 5113
10 FC Zurich 4103 4103
11 Grasshoppers 3012 371
12 FC Vaduz 3003 580

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYoung BoysBasel
FC Lausanne-Sport 2-2 D 0-1 L
FC Thun 6-0 W 4-2 W
FC Sion 4-2 W 0-2 L
Lugano 0-1 L 0-4 L
St Gallen 1-2 L 1-3 L
Servette 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Young Boys (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Young Boys

DLLWWDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Super League
2-2 4-2 64 W
08/08 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-0 2-2 27 D
01/08 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
3-0 6-0 52 W
26/07 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
2-1 4-2 63 W
17/05 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
1-1 3-3 53 D
14/05 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
3-2 8-3 18 W
10/05 Basel
Switzerland Super League
0-0 3-0 53 W
03/05 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-1 25 L
26/04 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-2 85 L
12/04 Servette
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-1 76 D

Basel

LLWLLLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
0-1 2-1 611 W
09/08 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
2-0 4-2 24 W
01/08 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-1 77 L
25/07 Servette
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-0 50 W
17/05 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-2 0-4 54 L
14/05 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-3 109 L
10/05 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-3 63 L
02/05 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
1-1 3-1 55 W
26/04 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
0-1 0-2 31 L
18/04 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
0-1 1-3 85 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Young Boys vs Basel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Boys win (59%). Probabilities: Young Boys 59%, draw 21%, Basel 20%.

How many goals are expected in Young Boys vs Basel?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Young Boys 2.34 · Basel 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Young Boys vs Basel?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.