Football · Switzerland Super League · 03/09, 20:30
Prediction: Basel vs FC Sion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Basel1.56
FC Sion2.03
1X2
Basel
Draw
FC Sion
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Basel
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
FC Sion
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Basel
3–1–2
FC Sion
(6 last)
- Basel0-2FC Sion
- FC Sion2-0Basel
- Basel1-1FC Sion
- FC Sion0-1Basel
- Basel2-0FC Sion
- Basel4-1FC Sion
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Sion (rating 1484 vs 1610).
- H2H favours Basel: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Basel | FC Sion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 2.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.2 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Basel 3–1–2 FC Sion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Sion |
| 12/02/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Basel |
| 18/01/26 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Sion |
| 30/08/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Basel |
| 01/03/25 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Sion |
| 26/01/25 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 4-1 HT 1-1 | FC Sion |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Basel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Zurich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 8 | Lucerne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 9 | Servette | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Basel | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|
| Young Boys | 3-3 D | 2-4 L |
| FC Thun | 4-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Lugano | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| St Gallen | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Sion (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Basel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 11 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
FC Sion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 26/04 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Lausanne Sports Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Basel vs FC Sion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Sion win (48%). Probabilities: Basel 29%, draw 23%, FC Sion 48%.
How many goals are expected in Basel vs FC Sion?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Basel 1.56 · FC Sion 2.03), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Basel vs FC Sion?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.