Prediction: FC Sion vs FC Thun

Team pages: FC Sion · FC Thun

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.21Total
FC Sion2.56
FC Thun1.65
1X2
56% 21% 23%
FC Sion Draw FC Thun
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Sion 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDDLWWL
FC Thun 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLLDWLLW
Head-to-head
FC Sion 1–1–4 FC Thun (6 last)
  • FC Sion2-0FC Thun
  • FC Thun1-0FC Sion
  • FC Thun2-1FC Sion
  • FC Sion0-1FC Thun
  • FC Sion1-1FC Thun
  • FC Thun1-0FC Sion
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Sion 1594 · FC Thun 1515
FC SionDrawFC Thun
Our model57%20%23%
Market55%23%22%
Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Sion (rating 1594 vs 1515).
  • H2H favours FC Thun: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC SionFC Thun
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.31.7 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 5.62.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.14.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sion 114 FC Thun

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Switzerland Super League
FC Sion2-0
HT 2-0
FC Thun
15/02/26
Switzerland Super League
FC Thun1-0
HT 1-0
FC Sion
01/11/25
Switzerland Super League
FC Thun2-1
HT 1-1
FC Sion
25/10/25
Switzerland Super League
FC Sion0-1
HT 0-1
FC Thun
04/07/25
Europe Friendlies
FC Sion1-1
HT 0-1
FC Thun
22/04/24
Switzerland Challenge League
FC Thun1-0
HT 1-0
FC Sion

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lugano 4400 13312
2 Young Boys 5320 19911
3 Basel 5311 10710
4 St Gallen 4211 1097
5 FC Sion 4202 986
6 FC Thun 4202 9146
7 FC Zurich 5203 7126
8 FC Lausanne-Sport 5122 675
9 Lucerne 5122 595
10 Servette 4112 454
11 FC Vaduz 5104 12143
12 Grasshoppers 4013 5121

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC SionFC Thun
Lugano 1-2 L 0-1 L
Lucerne 3-0 W 3-1 W
Young Boys 2-4 L 0-6 L
St Gallen 3-0 W 4-3 W
Basel 2-0 W 2-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Sion (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Sion

WWWWDDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-1 1-2 83 L
09/08 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Super League
1-2 3-2 66 W
02/08 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
1-0 3-0 32 W
26/07 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
1-2 2-4 43 L
17/05 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
1-1 3-3 53 D
14/05 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-1 2-2 45 D
10/05 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
2-0 2-0 97 W
03/05 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
1-0 3-0 710 W
26/04 Basel
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-0 61 W
12/04 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-0 3-0 43 W

FC Thun

WLLLLDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
1-0 4-3 14 W
09/08 Basel
Switzerland Super League
0-2 2-4 54 L
01/08 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
0-3 0-6 42 L
25/07 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
1-1 3-1 64 W
17/05 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-1 95 D
14/05 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
2-3 3-8 38 L
10/05 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
0-2 0-2 37 L
02/05 Basel
Switzerland Super League
1-1 1-3 25 L
25/04 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-1 77 L
18/04 Basel
Switzerland Super League
1-0 3-1 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Sion vs FC Thun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sion win (56%). Probabilities: FC Sion 56%, draw 21%, FC Thun 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Sion vs FC Thun?

The model expects 4.21 goals (FC Sion 2.56 · FC Thun 1.65), with a 59% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Sion vs FC Thun?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.