Prediction: Servette vs St Gallen

Team pages: Servette · St Gallen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Servette1.81
St Gallen1.6
1X2
42% 25% 33%
Servette Draw St Gallen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Servette 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWDWWLLWD
St Gallen 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWLWWDWWDL
Head-to-head
Servette 1–3–2 St Gallen (6 last)
  • Servette1-1St Gallen
  • St Gallen2-4Servette
  • Servette1-4St Gallen
  • St Gallen1-0Servette
  • Servette1-1St Gallen
  • St Gallen1-1Servette
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Servette 1553 · St Gallen 1545
ServetteDrawSt Gallen
Our model42%24%33%
Market42%25%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours St Gallen: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ServetteSt Gallen
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.22 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.50.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 72.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.46.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Servette 132 St Gallen

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Switzerland Super League
Servette1-1
HT 1-1
St Gallen
25/01/26
Switzerland Super League
St Gallen2-4
HT 2-0
Servette
02/08/25
Switzerland Super League
Servette1-4
HT 1-3
St Gallen
06/04/25
Switzerland Super League
St Gallen1-0
HT 0-0
Servette
18/01/25
Switzerland Super League
Servette1-1
HT 0-0
St Gallen
06/10/24
Switzerland Super League
St Gallen1-1
HT 1-0
Servette

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lugano 4400 13312
2 Young Boys 5320 19911
3 Basel 5311 10710
4 St Gallen 4211 1097
5 FC Sion 4202 986
6 FC Thun 4202 9146
7 FC Zurich 5203 7126
8 FC Lausanne-Sport 5122 675
9 Lucerne 5122 595
10 Servette 4112 454
11 FC Vaduz 5104 12143
12 Grasshoppers 4013 5121

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentServetteSt Gallen
Lucerne 1-1 D 2-2 D
FC Zurich 1-2 L 2-1 W
Basel 0-1 L 3-1 W
Young Boys 1-1 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: St Gallen (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Servette

DWWDWWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
1-1 1-1 136 D
08/08 Grasshoppers
Switzerland Super League
1-1 2-1 78 W
01/08 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
0-1 1-2 75 L
25/07 Basel
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-1 110 L
16/05 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-0 84 W
12/05 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-0 2-0 96 W
09/05 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
2-0 3-3 24 D
03/05 Grasshoppers
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-0 35 W
26/04 Winterthur
Switzerland Super League
3-2 5-3 42 W
12/04 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-1 66 D

St Gallen

DWLWWDWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
0-1 3-4 64 L
09/08 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-2 68 D
02/08 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Super League
1-1 3-2 93 W
26/07 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
0-0 2-1 44 W
17/05 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-1 35 D
14/05 Basel
Switzerland Super League
0-0 3-1 89 W
10/05 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-0 2-1 610 W
03/05 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
0-1 0-3 510 L
26/04 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
0-0 2-1 45 W
12/04 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
0-1 2-2 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Servette vs St Gallen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Servette win (42%). Probabilities: Servette 42%, draw 25%, St Gallen 33%.

How many goals are expected in Servette vs St Gallen?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Servette 1.81 · St Gallen 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Servette vs St Gallen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.