Football · Switzerland Super League · 01/09, 20:30

Prediction: FC Zurich vs Young Boys

Team pages: FC Zurich · Young Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

FC Zurich1.45

Young Boys2.58

1X2

19% 20% 61%

FC Zurich Draw Young Boys

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Zurich 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLWLLW

Young Boys 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWWDWD

Head-to-head

FC Zurich 0–1–5 Young Boys (6 last)

Young Boys3-0FC Zurich
Young Boys3-0FC Zurich
FC Zurich2-3Young Boys
Young Boys2-1FC Zurich
FC Zurich2-3Young Boys
FC Zurich0-0Young Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Zurich 1447 · Young Boys 1617

	FC Zurich	Draw	Young Boys
Our model	20%	19%	61%
Market	19%	21%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Boys (rating 1447 vs 1617).
H2H favours Young Boys: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Zurich	Young Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	3.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	2.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.88

2 (-1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.67 ★
2	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:38 +6’	5.00	4.50	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:59 +8’	4.62	4.69	1.60
17:29 +3’	4.59▼	4.67▼	1.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Zurich 0–1–5 Young Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	3-0 HT 0-0	FC Zurich
01/02/26 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Zurich
26/10/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Zurich	2-3 HT 2-1	Young Boys
21/04/25 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Zurich
27/02/25 Switzerland Cup	FC Zurich	2-3 HT 1-1	Young Boys
02/11/24 Switzerland Super League	FC Zurich	0-0 HT 0-0	Young Boys

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	19	9	11
2	Basel	5	3	1	1	10	7	10
3	Lugano	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
4	St Gallen	3	2	1	0	7	5	7
5	FC Sion	3	2	0	1	8	6	6
6	FC Zurich	5	2	0	3	7	12	6
7	FC Lausanne-Sport	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
8	Lucerne	5	1	2	2	5	9	5
9	Servette	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
10	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	5	11	3
11	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
12	FC Vaduz	4	0	0	4	7	12	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Zurich	Young Boys
FC Lausanne-Sport	3-2 W	2-2 D
Basel	1-2 L	3-3 D
Lugano	0-5 L	0-1 L
St Gallen	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Young Boys (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Zurich

LDWLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-1	3-2	6	5	W
22/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	1-0	1-2	4	11	L
09/08	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-2	0-5	2	3	L
01/08	Servette Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
26/07	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
16/05	Servette Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
12/05	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
09/05	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
02/05	Winterthur Switzerland Super League	1-1	2-2	3	7	D
25/04	Lausanne Sports Switzerland Super League	0-3	0-3	2	3	L

Young Boys

LLWWDWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	3-2	3-3	9	5	D
23/08	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	2-2	4-2	6	4	W
08/08	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-2	2	7	D
01/08	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	3-0	6-0	5	2	W
26/07	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	6	3	W
17/05	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
14/05	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	3-2	8-3	1	8	W
10/05	Basel Switzerland Super League	0-0	3-0	5	3	W
03/05	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
26/04	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-2	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Zurich vs Young Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Young Boys win (61%). Probabilities: FC Zurich 19%, draw 20%, Young Boys 61%.

How many goals are expected in FC Zurich vs Young Boys?

The model expects 4.03 goals (FC Zurich 1.45 · Young Boys 2.58), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Zurich vs Young Boys?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.