Football · Switzerland Super League · 24/10, 18:00
Prediction: Servette vs FC Vaduz
Team pages: Servette · FC Vaduz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Servette2.09
FC Vaduz1.39
1X2
Servette
Draw
FC Vaduz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Servette
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
FC Vaduz
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Servette
4–1–1
FC Vaduz
(6 last)
- FC Vaduz1-3Servette
- Servette1-2FC Vaduz
- Servette1-1FC Vaduz
- FC Vaduz0-2Servette
- FC Vaduz1-5Servette
- Servette2-0FC Vaduz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Servette 1540 · FC Vaduz 1458
| Servette | Draw | FC Vaduz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Servette (rating 1540 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Servette: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Servette | FC Vaduz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.1 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Servette 4–1–1 FC Vaduz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/21 Switzerland Super League | FC Vaduz | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Servette |
| 21/03/21 Switzerland Super League | Servette | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Vaduz |
| 23/12/20 Switzerland Super League | Servette | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Vaduz |
| 09/12/20 Switzerland Super League | FC Vaduz | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Servette |
| 23/05/19 Switzerland Challenge League | FC Vaduz | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Servette |
| 02/02/19 Switzerland Challenge League | Servette | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Vaduz |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 16 |
| 5 | FC Zurich | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 22 | 14 |
| 6 | Servette | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
| 7 | Basel | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 8 | Lucerne | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 9 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Servette | FC Vaduz |
|---|---|---|
| FC Sion | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Young Boys | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| FC Thun | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Lausanne-Sport | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| St Gallen | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Lugano | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Lucerne | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Grasshoppers | 2-1 W | 5-2 W |
| FC Zurich | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Basel | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 7 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Servette
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/09 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | L |
FC Vaduz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 30/08 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
2-2 | 5-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Servette vs FC Vaduz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Servette win (53%). Probabilities: Servette 53%, draw 23%, FC Vaduz 24%.
How many goals are expected in Servette vs FC Vaduz?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Servette 2.09 · FC Vaduz 1.39), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Servette vs FC Vaduz?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.