Football · Switzerland Super League · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Young Boys vs FC Zurich

Team pages: Young Boys · FC Zurich

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.25Total

Young Boys3.06

FC Zurich1.19

1X2

74% 15% 11%

Young Boys Draw FC Zurich

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Young Boys 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDDWWW

FC Zurich 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDWDWW

Head-to-head

Young Boys 6–0 FC Zurich (6 last)

FC Zurich2-4Young Boys
Young Boys3-0FC Zurich
Young Boys3-0FC Zurich
FC Zurich2-3Young Boys
Young Boys2-1FC Zurich
FC Zurich2-3Young Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Young Boys 1628 · FC Zurich 1503

	Young Boys	Draw	FC Zurich
Our model	74%	15%	11%
Market	74%	15%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 4.25 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Boys (rating 1628 vs 1503).
H2H favours Young Boys: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Young Boys	FC Zurich
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 1.6	1.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.25

X6.00

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.80

2 (+1.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.25▼	Pinn 1.26
X	5.50 → 6.00▲	Pinn 6.81 ★
2	7.50 → 8.50▲	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.4% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:20 +6’	1.30	5.50	7.50
11:20 +4’	1.25▼	6.00▲	8.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:07 +312’	1.25	6.84	8.29
18:24 +2’	1.26▲	6.81▼	8.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Boys 6–0–0 FC Zurich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/09/26 Switzerland Super League	FC Zurich	2-4 HT 1-2	Young Boys
01/03/26 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	3-0 HT 0-0	FC Zurich
01/02/26 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Zurich
26/10/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Zurich	2-3 HT 2-1	Young Boys
21/04/25 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Zurich
27/02/25 Switzerland Cup	FC Zurich	2-3 HT 1-1	Young Boys

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugano	11	10	1	0	34	9	31
2	Young Boys	11	7	4	0	35	18	25
3	FC Sion	11	7	1	3	24	17	22
4	FC Zurich	11	5	2	4	20	23	17
5	Servette	11	5	1	5	16	14	16
6	St Gallen	11	5	1	5	17	21	16
7	Basel	11	4	2	5	17	20	14
8	Lucerne	11	3	3	5	18	24	12
9	FC Thun	11	3	1	7	19	30	10
10	FC Vaduz	11	3	0	8	22	23	9
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	3	6	13	26	9
12	FC Lausanne-Sport	11	1	3	7	7	17	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Young Boys	FC Zurich
Grasshoppers	2-0 W	2-2 D
Servette	3-2 W	2-1 W
Lugano	2-2 D	0-5 L
Lucerne	3-3 D	2-1 W
Basel	3-3 D	1-2 L
FC Vaduz	4-2 W	2-1 W
FC Lausanne-Sport	2-2 D	3-2 W
FC Thun	6-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Young Boys (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Young Boys

WDWDWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
11/10	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
19/09	Servette Switzerland Super League	1-2	3-2	10	3	W
12/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
05/09	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-0	3-3	8	8	D
01/09	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	3	5	W
29/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	3-2	3-3	9	5	D
23/08	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	2-2	4-2	6	4	W
08/08	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-2	2	7	D
01/08	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	3-0	6-0	5	2	W

FC Zurich

WLLWLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
10/10	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	5	3	W
19/09	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
13/09	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
05/09	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-2	4	8	D
01/09	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	1-2	2-4	3	5	L
29/08	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-1	3-2	6	5	W
22/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	1-0	1-2	4	11	L
09/08	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-2	0-5	2	3	L
01/08	Servette Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Young Boys vs FC Zurich?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Boys win (74%). Probabilities: Young Boys 74%, draw 15%, FC Zurich 11%.

How many goals are expected in Young Boys vs FC Zurich?

The model expects 4.25 goals (Young Boys 3.06 · FC Zurich 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Young Boys vs FC Zurich?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.