Football · Switzerland Super League · 31/10, 20:30
Prediction: Lucerne vs FC Sion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Lucerne1.6
FC Sion1.7
1X2
Lucerne
Draw
FC Sion
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Lucerne
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
FC Sion
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lucerne
1–3–2
FC Sion
(6 last)
- FC Sion3-0Lucerne
- FC Sion0-0Lucerne
- FC Sion1-1Lucerne
- Lucerne3-3FC Sion
- Lucerne2-1FC Sion
- FC Sion4-2Lucerne
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucerne 1520 · FC Sion 1562
| Lucerne | Draw | FC Sion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Sion (rating 1520 vs 1562).
- H2H favours FC Sion: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lucerne | FC Sion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.1 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.1 | 3.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucerne 1–3–2 FC Sion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lucerne |
| 07/02/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lucerne |
| 24/01/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Lucerne |
| 04/10/25 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 3-3 HT 2-0 | FC Sion |
| 23/02/25 Switzerland Super League | Lucerne | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Sion |
| 10/11/24 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Lucerne |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 5 | Servette | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | St Gallen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 16 |
| 7 | Basel | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | Lucerne | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 23 | 9 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lucerne | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|
| FC Zurich | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Lugano | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Grasshoppers | 5-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Basel | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Vaduz | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Servette | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| FC Lausanne-Sport | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| St Gallen | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Sion (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucerne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 02/09 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
FC Sion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/09 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 03/09 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucerne vs FC Sion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Sion win (40%). Probabilities: Lucerne 36%, draw 24%, FC Sion 40%.
How many goals are expected in Lucerne vs FC Sion?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Lucerne 1.6 · FC Sion 1.7), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lucerne vs FC Sion?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.