Football · Switzerland Super League · 01/11, 16:30

Prediction: FC Lausanne-Sport vs FC Thun

Team pages: FC Lausanne-Sport · FC Thun

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

FC Lausanne-Sport1.68

FC Thun1.65

1X2

38% 25% 37%

FC Lausanne-Sport Draw FC Thun

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Lausanne-Sport 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WDLLDLLLLL

FC Thun 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLWLL

Head-to-head

FC Lausanne-Sport 1–2–3 FC Thun (6 last)

FC Thun0-0FC Lausanne-Sport
FC Thun5-1FC Lausanne-Sport
FC Lausanne-Sport2-1FC Thun
FC Thun2-1FC Lausanne-Sport
FC Thun3-3FC Lausanne-Sport
FC Lausanne-Sport1-3FC Thun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Lausanne-Sport 1469 · FC Thun 1442

	FC Lausanne-Sport	Draw	FC Thun
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Thun: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Lausanne-Sport	FC Thun
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.6	1.6 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.55 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +15’	2.40	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:20 +362’	2.58	3.58	2.61
13:24 +4’	2.55▼	3.58	2.65▲
17:34	2.55	3.57▼	2.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lausanne-Sport 1–2–3 FC Thun

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/09/26 Switzerland Super League	FC Thun	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Lausanne-Sport
12/02/26 Switzerland Super League	FC Thun	5-1 HT 2-1	FC Lausanne-Sport
30/11/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Lausanne-Sport	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Thun
03/08/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Thun	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Lausanne-Sport
19/05/23 Switzerland Challenge League	FC Thun	3-3 HT 1-2	FC Lausanne-Sport
19/03/23 Switzerland Challenge League	FC Lausanne-Sport	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Thun

Standings · Switzerland Super League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugano	11	10	1	0	34	9	31
2	Young Boys	11	7	4	0	35	18	25
3	FC Sion	11	7	1	3	24	17	22
4	FC Zurich	11	5	2	4	20	23	17
5	Servette	11	5	1	5	16	14	16
6	St Gallen	11	5	1	5	17	21	16
7	Basel	11	4	2	5	17	20	14
8	Lucerne	11	3	3	5	18	24	12
9	FC Thun	11	3	1	7	19	30	10
10	FC Vaduz	11	3	0	8	22	23	9
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	3	6	13	26	9
12	FC Lausanne-Sport	11	1	3	7	7	17	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Lausanne-Sport	FC Thun
FC Sion	0-1 L	2-3 L
St Gallen	0-1 L	4-3 W
Lugano	0-4 L	2-3 L
Servette	0-1 L	2-4 L
FC Vaduz	1-3 L	2-1 W
FC Zurich	2-3 L	2-4 L
Young Boys	2-2 D	0-6 L
Basel	1-0 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lausanne-Sport (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lausanne-Sport

WDLLDLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
11/10	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
20/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-4	1	7	L
13/09	Servette Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-1	12	3	L
05/09	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
02/09	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
29/08	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-3	6	5	L
22/08	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
08/08	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-2	3	7	D
01/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-0	4	7	W

FC Thun

LLWDLLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Lugano Switzerland Super League	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
10/10	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	1-2	2-4	6	3	L
20/09	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-1	7	5	W
16/09	Servette Switzerland Super League	1-2	2-4	7	6	L
12/09	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-1	10	7	L
06/09	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
02/09	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
30/08	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	1-0	4-3	1	4	W
09/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	0-2	2-4	5	4	L
01/08	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	0-3	0-6	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lausanne-Sport vs FC Thun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lausanne-Sport win (38%). Probabilities: FC Lausanne-Sport 38%, draw 25%, FC Thun 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lausanne-Sport vs FC Thun?

The model expects 3.33 goals (FC Lausanne-Sport 1.68 · FC Thun 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lausanne-Sport vs FC Thun?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.