Football · Switzerland Super League · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: St Gallen vs Servette

Team pages: St Gallen · Servette

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

St Gallen2.04

Servette1.31

1X2

53% 23% 24%

St Gallen Draw Servette

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

St Gallen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLWWL

Servette 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWWLWW

Head-to-head

St Gallen 3–2–1 Servette (6 last)

Servette0-2St Gallen
Servette1-1St Gallen
St Gallen2-4Servette
Servette1-4St Gallen
St Gallen1-0Servette
Servette1-1St Gallen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Gallen 1502 · Servette 1564

	St Gallen	Draw	Servette
Our model	53%	23%	24%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Servette (rating 1502 vs 1564).
H2H favours St Gallen: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Gallen	Servette
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 7.3	2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.80 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.07
2	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.01

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +7’	1.73	4.00	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:45 +179’	1.78	4.13	4.00
19:10 +33’	1.80▲	4.05▼	4.00
19:09 +28’	1.80	4.07▲	4.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · St Gallen 3–2–1 Servette

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Switzerland Super League	Servette	0-2 HT 0-1	St Gallen
21/02/26 Switzerland Super League	Servette	1-1 HT 1-1	St Gallen
25/01/26 Switzerland Super League	St Gallen	2-4 HT 2-0	Servette
02/08/25 Switzerland Super League	Servette	1-4 HT 1-3	St Gallen
06/04/25 Switzerland Super League	St Gallen	1-0 HT 0-0	Servette
18/01/25 Switzerland Super League	Servette	1-1 HT 0-0	St Gallen

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugano	11	10	1	0	34	9	31
2	Young Boys	11	7	4	0	35	18	25
3	FC Sion	11	7	1	3	24	17	22
4	FC Zurich	11	5	2	4	20	23	17
5	Servette	11	5	1	5	16	14	16
6	St Gallen	11	5	1	5	17	21	16
7	Basel	11	4	2	5	17	20	14
8	Lucerne	11	3	3	5	18	24	12
9	FC Thun	11	3	1	7	19	30	10
10	FC Vaduz	11	3	0	8	22	23	9
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	3	6	13	26	9
12	FC Lausanne-Sport	11	1	3	7	7	17	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Gallen	Servette
Young Boys	0-2 L	2-3 L
FC Lausanne-Sport	1-0 W	1-0 W
Lugano	1-4 L	0-1 L
FC Sion	0-3 L	3-0 W
Grasshoppers	0-2 L	2-1 W
FC Thun	3-4 L	4-2 W
Lucerne	2-2 D	1-1 D
FC Vaduz	3-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Servette (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Gallen

WDLLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
11/10	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
20/09	Basel Switzerland Super League	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
16/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-4	1-4	8	7	L
12/09	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	0-2	0-3	10	3	L
06/09	Servette Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
02/09	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-2	14	3	L
30/08	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	0-1	3-4	6	4	L
09/08	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-2	6	8	D
02/08	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	1-1	3-2	9	3	W

Servette

LWDLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
10/10	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	2-0	3-0	5	7	W
19/09	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
16/09	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	5	6	W
13/09	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
03/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-1	1-1	13	6	D
08/08	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	1-1	2-1	7	6	W
01/08	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	0-1	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Gallen vs Servette?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Gallen win (53%). Probabilities: St Gallen 53%, draw 23%, Servette 24%.

How many goals are expected in St Gallen vs Servette?

The model expects 3.35 goals (St Gallen 2.04 · Servette 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in St Gallen vs Servette?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.