Football · Switzerland Super League · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: FC Sion vs Lugano

Team pages: FC Sion · Lugano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

FC Sion1.77

Lugano1.45

1X2

44% 25% 31%

FC Sion Draw Lugano

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Sion 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDDLWW

Lugano 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Sion 2–2–2 Lugano (6 last)

FC Sion2-2Lugano
Lugano2-1FC Sion
Lugano1-1FC Sion
FC Sion4-0Lugano
FC Sion2-1Lugano
Lugano3-2FC Sion

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Sion	Lugano
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.1	2.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.22 → 2.22	Pinn 2.22
X	3.32 → 3.32	Pinn 3.32
2	3.35 → 3.35	Pinn 3.35

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:27	2.22	3.32	3.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sion 2–2–2 Lugano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Switzerland Super League	FC Sion	2-2 HT 0-1	Lugano
04/03/26 Switzerland Super League	Lugano	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Sion
29/11/25 Switzerland Super League	Lugano	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Sion
03/08/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Sion	4-0 HT 2-0	Lugano
09/03/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Sion	2-1 HT 1-1	Lugano
01/02/25 Switzerland Super League	Lugano	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Sion

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Young Boys	4	3	1	0	16	6	10
2	Lugano	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
3	Basel	4	3	0	1	7	4	9
4	St Gallen	3	2	1	0	7	5	7
5	FC Sion	3	2	0	1	8	6	6
6	FC Lausanne-Sport	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
7	Lucerne	4	1	1	2	4	8	4
8	Servette	3	1	0	2	3	4	3
9	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	5	11	3
10	FC Zurich	4	1	0	3	4	10	3
11	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
12	FC Vaduz	4	0	0	4	7	12	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Sion	Lugano
FC Vaduz	3-2 W	2-1 W
Young Boys	2-4 L	1-0 W
FC Thun	2-0 W	1-0 W
St Gallen	3-0 W	1-2 L
Basel	2-0 W	4-0 W
Grasshoppers	4-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Sion (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Sion

WWWWWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	1-2	3-2	6	6	W
02/08	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
26/07	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
17/05	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
14/05	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
10/05	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	2-0	2-0	9	7	W
03/05	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	1-0	3-0	7	10	W
26/04	Basel Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
12/04	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	3-0	4	3	W
06/04	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	1-0	4-0	3	4	W

Lugano

WWWWLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	2-0	5-0	5	3	W
02/08	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-1	4-1	4	2	W
26/07	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	2-0	2-1	9	3	W
17/05	Basel Switzerland Super League	2-0	4-0	5	4	W
14/05	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-2	4	5	D
10/05	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-2	2	10	L
03/05	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
25/04	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
11/04	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
04/04	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Sion vs Lugano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sion win (44%). Probabilities: FC Sion 44%, draw 25%, Lugano 31%.

How many goals are expected in FC Sion vs Lugano?

The model expects 3.22 goals (FC Sion 1.77 · Lugano 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Sion vs Lugano?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.