Football · Switzerland Super League · 25/10, 16:30

Prediction: Basel vs Grasshoppers

Team pages: Basel · Grasshoppers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Basel2.39
Grasshoppers1.5
1X2
57% 21% 23%
Basel Draw Grasshoppers
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Basel 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWWDLLWLL
Grasshoppers 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLWDWLLL
Head-to-head
Basel 4–1–1 Grasshoppers (6 last)
  • Basel1-0Grasshoppers
  • Grasshoppers1-1Basel
  • Basel2-1Grasshoppers
  • Basel2-1Grasshoppers
  • Basel0-1Grasshoppers
  • Grasshoppers0-3Basel
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Basel 1481 · Grasshoppers 1471
BaselDrawGrasshoppers
Our model57%21%23%
Market57%21%23%
Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Basel: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BaselGrasshoppers
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 21.3 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.12.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.14.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Basel 4–1–1 Grasshoppers

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/03/26
Switzerland Super League
Basel1-0
HT 0-0
Grasshoppers
23/11/25
Switzerland Super League
Grasshoppers1-1
HT 1-1
Basel
02/08/25
Switzerland Super League
Basel2-1
HT 1-0
Grasshoppers
03/04/25
Switzerland Super League
Basel2-1
HT 2-0
Grasshoppers
14/12/24
Switzerland Super League
Basel0-1
HT 0-1
Grasshoppers
03/08/24
Switzerland Super League
Grasshoppers0-3
HT 0-2
Basel

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lugano 10910 31728
2 Young Boys 10640 331822
3 FC Sion 10613 231719
4 St Gallen 10514 171916
5 FC Zurich 10424 182214
6 Servette 10415 141313
7 Basel 10415 172013
8 Lucerne 10334 172212
9 FC Thun 10316 172710
10 FC Vaduz 10307 21219
11 Grasshoppers 10226 13268
12 FC Lausanne-Sport 10136 7166

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBaselGrasshoppers
FC Vaduz 0-3 L 2-5 L
St Gallen 1-3 L 2-0 W
Lucerne 4-2 W 1-5 L
Lugano 1-3 L 1-4 L
FC Sion 1-2 L 2-5 L
Young Boys 3-3 D 0-2 L
FC Zurich 2-1 W 2-2 D
FC Thun 4-2 W 1-0 W
FC Lausanne-Sport 0-1 L 1-1 D
Servette 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Basel (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Basel

WLWWDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Super League
0-2 0-3 54 L
20/09 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
1-1 1-3 55 L
13/09 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
2-1 4-2 33 W
06/09 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-3 16 L
03/09 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
1-0 1-2 45 L
29/08 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
2-3 3-3 35 D
22/08 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
0-1 2-1 611 W
09/08 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
2-0 4-2 24 W
01/08 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-1 77 L
25/07 Servette
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-0 50 W

Grasshoppers

DLLLWDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-2 35 L
19/09 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
0-2 1-5 84 L
15/09 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
1-1 2-5 16 L
12/09 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
1-0 1-0 57 W
05/09 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
0-0 2-2 88 D
02/09 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-0 73 W
30/08 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Super League
2-2 2-5 93 L
08/08 Servette
Switzerland Super League
1-1 1-2 56 L
02/08 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
1-0 1-4 32 L
25/07 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-1 1-1 26 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Basel vs Grasshoppers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Basel win (57%). Probabilities: Basel 57%, draw 21%, Grasshoppers 23%.

How many goals are expected in Basel vs Grasshoppers?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Basel 2.39 · Grasshoppers 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Basel vs Grasshoppers?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.