Football · Switzerland Super League · 25/10, 16:30
Prediction: FC Sion vs FC Lausanne-Sport
Team pages: FC Sion · FC Lausanne-Sport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
FC Sion2.33
FC Lausanne-Sport1.15
1X2
FC Sion
Draw
FC Lausanne-Sport
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Sion
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
FC Lausanne-Sport
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Sion
2–2–2
FC Lausanne-Sport
(6 last)
- FC Sion3-0FC Lausanne-Sport
- FC Lausanne-Sport2-2FC Sion
- FC Sion0-0FC Lausanne-Sport
- FC Lausanne-Sport2-0FC Sion
- FC Lausanne-Sport1-0FC Sion
- FC Sion4-0FC Lausanne-Sport
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Sion 1547 · FC Lausanne-Sport 1472
| FC Sion | Draw | FC Lausanne-Sport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Sion (rating 1547 vs 1472).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Sion | FC Lausanne-Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sion 2–2–2 FC Lausanne-Sport
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 09/11/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 2-2 HT 2-2 | FC Sion |
| 28/09/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
| 05/04/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Sion |
| 23/11/24 Switzerland Super League | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Sion |
| 27/07/24 Switzerland Super League | FC Sion | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Lausanne-Sport |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 16 |
| 5 | FC Zurich | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 22 | 14 |
| 6 | Servette | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
| 7 | Basel | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 8 | Lucerne | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 9 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Sion | FC Lausanne-Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Servette | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Zurich | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Grasshoppers | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| St Gallen | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Thun | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Basel | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Lugano | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| FC Vaduz | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Lucerne | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Young Boys | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Sion (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Sion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/09 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 03/09 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
FC Lausanne-Sport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Sion vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sion win (62%). Probabilities: FC Sion 62%, draw 21%, FC Lausanne-Sport 16%.
How many goals are expected in FC Sion vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
The model expects 3.48 goals (FC Sion 2.33 · FC Lausanne-Sport 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Sion vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.