Football · Switzerland Super League · 24/10, 20:30

Prediction: Young Boys vs St Gallen

Team pages: Young Boys · St Gallen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.15Total

Young Boys2.44

St Gallen1.71

1X2

53% 21% 26%

Young Boys Draw St Gallen

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Young Boys 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWDDWW

St Gallen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Young Boys 3–3 St Gallen (6 last)

Young Boys1-2St Gallen
St Gallen2-1Young Boys
St Gallen1-4Young Boys
Young Boys1-2St Gallen
Young Boys1-0St Gallen
Young Boys3-1St Gallen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Young Boys 1611 · St Gallen 1531

	Young Boys	Draw	St Gallen
Our model	53%	21%	26%
Market	53%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 4.15 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Boys (rating 1611 vs 1531).
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Young Boys	St Gallen
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 1.8	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.9	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.8	2.8 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.83
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.80 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:31 +2’	1.75	4.20	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:31 +242’	1.83	4.14	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Boys 3–0–3 St Gallen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	1-2 HT 0-0	St Gallen
11/02/26 Switzerland Super League	St Gallen	2-1 HT 2-0	Young Boys
09/11/25 Switzerland Super League	St Gallen	1-4 HT 1-2	Young Boys
19/10/25 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	1-2 HT 0-0	St Gallen
29/03/25 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	1-0 HT 0-0	St Gallen
01/12/24 Switzerland Super League	Young Boys	3-1 HT 2-0	St Gallen

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugano	10	9	1	0	31	7	28
2	Young Boys	10	6	4	0	33	18	22
3	FC Sion	10	6	1	3	23	17	19
4	St Gallen	10	5	1	4	17	19	16
5	FC Zurich	10	4	2	4	18	22	14
6	Servette	10	4	1	5	14	13	13
7	Basel	10	4	1	5	17	20	13
8	Lucerne	10	3	3	4	17	22	12
9	FC Thun	10	3	1	6	17	27	10
10	FC Vaduz	10	3	0	7	21	21	9
11	Grasshoppers	10	2	2	6	13	26	8
12	FC Lausanne-Sport	10	1	3	6	7	16	6

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Young Boys	St Gallen
Grasshoppers	2-0 W	0-2 L
Servette	3-2 W	2-0 W
Lugano	2-2 D	1-4 L
Lucerne	3-3 D	2-2 D
FC Zurich	4-2 W	2-1 W
Basel	3-3 D	3-1 W
FC Vaduz	4-2 W	3-2 W
FC Lausanne-Sport	2-2 D	1-0 W
FC Thun	6-0 W	3-4 L
FC Sion	4-2 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 4 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Young Boys (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Young Boys

WWDWDWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
19/09	Servette Switzerland Super League	1-2	3-2	10	3	W
12/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
05/09	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-0	3-3	8	8	D
01/09	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	3	5	W
29/08	Basel Switzerland Super League	3-2	3-3	9	5	D
23/08	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	2-2	4-2	6	4	W
08/08	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-2	2	7	D
01/08	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	3-0	6-0	5	2	W
26/07	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	6	3	W

St Gallen

WWDLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
20/09	Basel Switzerland Super League	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
16/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-4	1-4	8	7	L
12/09	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	0-2	0-3	10	3	L
06/09	Servette Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
02/09	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-2	14	3	L
30/08	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	0-1	3-4	6	4	L
09/08	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-2	6	8	D
02/08	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	1-1	3-2	9	3	W
26/07	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	0-0	2-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Young Boys vs St Gallen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Boys win (53%). Probabilities: Young Boys 53%, draw 21%, St Gallen 26%.

How many goals are expected in Young Boys vs St Gallen?

The model expects 4.15 goals (Young Boys 2.44 · St Gallen 1.71), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Young Boys vs St Gallen?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.