Football · Switzerland Super League · 30/08, 16:30
Prediction: St Gallen vs FC Thun
Team pages: St Gallen · FC Thun
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
St Gallen2.31
FC Thun1.39
1X2
St Gallen
Draw
FC Thun
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
St Gallen
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
FC Thun
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Gallen
1–3–2
FC Thun
(6 last)
- St Gallen1-1FC Thun
- FC Thun2-2St Gallen
- FC Thun0-2St Gallen
- St Gallen1-2FC Thun
- FC Thun3-3St Gallen
- FC Thun2-1St Gallen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Gallen (rating 1552 vs 1469).
- H2H favours FC Thun: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Gallen | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.2 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Gallen 1–3–2 FC Thun
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Thun |
| 05/03/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Thun | 2-2 HT 0-1 | St Gallen |
| 13/12/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Thun | 0-2 HT 0-1 | St Gallen |
| 04/10/25 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FC Thun |
| 25/06/22 Europe Friendlies | FC Thun | 3-3 HT 1-0 | St Gallen |
| 19/07/20 Switzerland Super League | FC Thun | 2-1 HT 0-0 | St Gallen |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Basel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Lucerne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 8 | Servette | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Zurich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Gallen | FC Thun |
|---|---|---|
| Lucerne | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Basel | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Lugano | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Sion | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Young Boys | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: St Gallen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Gallen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 14/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 26/04 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/04 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 9 | W |
FC Thun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 14/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
2-3 | 3-8 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Gallen vs FC Thun?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Gallen win (57%). Probabilities: St Gallen 57%, draw 21%, FC Thun 22%.
How many goals are expected in St Gallen vs FC Thun?
The model expects 3.71 goals (St Gallen 2.31 · FC Thun 1.39), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in St Gallen vs FC Thun?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.