Football · Finland Kolmonen · 29/07, 18:00

Prediction: JPS vs FCJ Blackbird

Team pages: JPS · FCJ Blackbird

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.02Total
JPS2.81
FCJ Blackbird1.22
1X2
70% 16% 14%
JPS Draw FCJ Blackbird
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
JPS 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWDWWWWD
FCJ Blackbird 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWDLLW
Head-to-head
JPS 2–1–3 FCJ Blackbird (6 last)
  • FCJ Blackbird1-1JPS
  • JPS3-2FCJ Blackbird
  • JPS2-1FCJ Blackbird
  • FCJ Blackbird3-1JPS
  • JPS1-2FCJ Blackbird
  • JPS0-1FCJ Blackbird
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JPS 1592 · FCJ Blackbird 1540
JPSDrawFCJ Blackbird
Our model70%17%13%
Market70%16%14%
Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JPS (rating 1592 vs 1540).
  • H2H favours FCJ Blackbird: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 12.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JPSFCJ Blackbird
Goals for / against (FT)3 / 0.72.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 0.31 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)83/17/0%75/0/25%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 7.33.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.7 / 02.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · JPS 213 FCJ Blackbird

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
FCJ Blackbird1-1
HT 0-1
JPS
01/10/23
Finland Kolmonen
JPS3-2
HT 1-2
FCJ Blackbird
16/08/23
Finland Kolmonen
JPS2-1
HT 0-1
FCJ Blackbird
28/09/22
Finland Kolmonen
FCJ Blackbird3-1
HT 2-1
JPS
20/04/22
Finland Kolmonen
JPS1-2
HT 0-0
FCJ Blackbird
16/07/21
Finland Kolmonen
JPS0-1
HT 0-1
FCJ Blackbird

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 JPS 10730 30724
2 FCJ Blackbird 11632 301921
3 FC Metso 10532 231518
4 JJK/2 9504 222115
5 KeuPa 10343 192113
6 Komeetat 11317 152210
7 Savon Pallo 11317 182810
8 FC Vaajakoski II 12219 16407

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJPSFCJ Blackbird
Komeetat 1-1 D 2-0 W
KeuPa 3-0 W 3-0 W
Savon Pallo 3-1 W 0-2 L
JJK/2 4-0 W 5-1 W
FC Vaajakoski II 3-0 W 1-4 L
FC Metso 5-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JPS (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JPS

WDWWDWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 124 D
24/06 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 80 W
17/06 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
10/06 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-0 110 W
02/06 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 50 W
29/05 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-1 43 D
22/05 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 W
15/05 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 W
08/05 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D
06/05 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 4-1 43 W

FCJ Blackbird

WWWDWWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 74 W
17/07 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 L
25/06 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
1-4 L
16/06 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
12/06 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-0 62 W
05/06 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 5-1 40 W
29/05 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-1 53 D
22/05 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
4-3 W
13/05 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
08/05 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
6-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JPS vs FCJ Blackbird?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JPS win (70%). Probabilities: JPS 70%, draw 16%, FCJ Blackbird 14%.

How many goals are expected in JPS vs FCJ Blackbird?

The model expects 4.02 goals (JPS 2.81 · FCJ Blackbird 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in JPS vs FCJ Blackbird?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.