Football · Japan J-League · 15/08, 11:00
Prediction: Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus
Team pages: Kashima Antlers · Nagoya Grampus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Kashima Antlers1.89
Nagoya Grampus1.02
1X2
Kashima Antlers
Draw
Nagoya Grampus
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kashima Antlers
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Nagoya Grampus
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kashima Antlers
3–3–0
Nagoya Grampus
(6 last)
- Nagoya Grampus0-4Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers1-0Nagoya Grampus
- Kashima Antlers0-0Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus0-3Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers1-1Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus1-1Kashima Antlers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashima Antlers (rating 1568 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Kashima Antlers: 3-3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kashima Antlers | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.4 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashima Antlers 3–3–0 Nagoya Grampus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Kashima Antlers |
| 25/04/25 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 09/11/24 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 23/02/24 Japan J-League | Nagoya Grampus | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Kashima Antlers |
| 10/09/23 Japan J-League Cup | Kashima Antlers | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nagoya Grampus |
| 06/09/23 Japan J-League Cup | Nagoya Grampus | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kashima Antlers |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Fagiano Okayama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Mito Hollyhock | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | FC Tokyo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kashima Antlers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-2 | 4-3 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Nagoya Grampus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashima Antlers win (57%). Probabilities: Kashima Antlers 57%, draw 24%, Nagoya Grampus 19%.
How many goals are expected in Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Kashima Antlers 1.89 · Nagoya Grampus 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.