Football · Japan J-League · 22/08, 12:30

Prediction: Yokohama F-Marinos vs Vissel Kobe

Team pages: Yokohama F-Marinos · Vissel Kobe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Yokohama F-Marinos1.19

Vissel Kobe1.56

1X2

28% 28% 44%

Yokohama F-Marinos Draw Vissel Kobe

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Yokohama F-Marinos 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDLWDWLW

Vissel Kobe 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWDWWLWD

Head-to-head

Yokohama F-Marinos 2–4 Vissel Kobe (6 last)

Vissel Kobe1-0Yokohama F-Marinos
Yokohama F-Marinos1-2Vissel Kobe
Yokohama F-Marinos1-2Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe1-2Yokohama F-Marinos
Yokohama F-Marinos0-2Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe2-3Yokohama F-Marinos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yokohama F-Marinos 1514 · Vissel Kobe 1523

	Yokohama F-Marinos	Draw	Vissel Kobe
Our model	28%	27%	45%
Market	27%	29%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vissel Kobe: 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yokohama F-Marinos	Vissel Kobe
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.5	1.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.25

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.50
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.45 ★
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:23 +4’	3.40	3.25	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:58	3.50	3.45	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yokohama F-Marinos 2–0–4 Vissel Kobe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/25 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	1-0 HT 1-0	Yokohama F-Marinos
21/05/25 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	1-2 HT 1-1	Vissel Kobe
11/08/24 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	1-2 HT 1-1	Vissel Kobe
07/04/24 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	1-2 HT 0-0	Yokohama F-Marinos
29/09/23 Japan J-League	Yokohama F-Marinos	0-2 HT 0-2	Vissel Kobe
22/04/23 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	2-3 HT 2-2	Yokohama F-Marinos

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	2	2	0	0	9	1	6
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
3	Kashiwa Reysol	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
4	Kashima Antlers	2	2	0	0	6	4	6
5	Gamba Osaka	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
6	Vissel Kobe	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Avispa Fukuoka	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
8	Yokohama F-Marinos	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	Fagiano Okayama	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
12	Cerezo Osaka	2	1	0	1	2	4	3
13	Kawasaki Frontale	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
14	Kyoto Sanga FC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
15	Mito Hollyhock	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	Tokyo Verdy	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
17	FC Tokyo	2	0	1	1	3	7	1
18	Nagoya Grampus	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
19	Urawa Red Diamonds	2	0	0	2	4	8	0
20	JEF Utd Chiba	2	0	0	2	0	7	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Yokohama F-Marinos

WDLDLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
07/08	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	2-1	3-4	0	1	L
06/06	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League Play-Offs	1-0	3-0	1	2	W
31/05	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League Play-Offs	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
24/05	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
16/05	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
10/05	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	9	0	D
06/05	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
02/05	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
29/04	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	0-1	3-2	4	0	W

Vissel Kobe

LDLWDWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	1-1	2-2	7	0	D
08/08	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
06/06	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League Play-Offs	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
30/05	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League Play-Offs	1-0	5-0	3	2	W
23/05	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
17/05	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	2-2	2-2	3	3	D
13/05	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
10/05	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
06/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
02/05	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-2	0-5	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vissel Kobe win (44%). Probabilities: Yokohama F-Marinos 28%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 44%.

How many goals are expected in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Yokohama F-Marinos 1.19 · Vissel Kobe 1.56), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.