Football · Japan J-League · 15/08, 12:00
Prediction: Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Team pages: Urawa Red Diamonds · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Urawa Red Diamonds1.23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.5
1X2
Urawa Red Diamonds
Draw
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Urawa Red Diamonds
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(6 last)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima3-0Urawa Red Diamonds
- Urawa Red Diamonds1-0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Urawa Red Diamonds3-0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima2-0Urawa Red Diamonds
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima2-1Urawa Red Diamonds
- Urawa Red Diamonds2-1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (rating 1491 vs 1587).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 Japan J-League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 25/04/25 Japan J-League | Urawa Red Diamonds | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 10/11/24 Japan J-League | Urawa Red Diamonds | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 23/02/24 Japan J-League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 13/08/23 Japan J-League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 31/05/23 Japan J-League | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Fagiano Okayama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Mito Hollyhock | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | FC Tokyo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Urawa Red Diamonds | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka | 3-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Fagiano Okayama | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| JEF Utd Chiba | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Urawa Red Diamonds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 22/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Slaven Belupo World Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League Play-Offs |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win (42%). Probabilities: Urawa Red Diamonds 30%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 42%.
How many goals are expected in Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Urawa Red Diamonds 1.23 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.