Football · Japan J-League · 15/08, 12:00
Prediction: JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia
Team pages: JEF Utd Chiba · Machida Zelvia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
JEF Utd Chiba0.95
Machida Zelvia1.59
1X2
JEF Utd Chiba
Draw
Machida Zelvia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JEF Utd Chiba
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Machida Zelvia
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JEF Utd Chiba
1–1–4
Machida Zelvia
(6 last)
- JEF Utd Chiba0-2Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia2-1JEF Utd Chiba
- Machida Zelvia1-3JEF Utd Chiba
- JEF Utd Chiba0-2Machida Zelvia
- JEF Utd Chiba1-2Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia1-1JEF Utd Chiba
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Machida Zelvia (rating 1416 vs 1567).
- H2H favours Machida Zelvia: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JEF Utd Chiba | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JEF Utd Chiba 1–1–4 Machida Zelvia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Japan J-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Machida Zelvia |
| 27/02/26 Japan J-League | Machida Zelvia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 22/07/23 Japan J2-League | Machida Zelvia | 1-3 HT 0-2 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 03/06/23 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Machida Zelvia |
| 14/08/22 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Machida Zelvia |
| 03/04/22 Japan J2-League | Machida Zelvia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | JEF Utd Chiba |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Fagiano Okayama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Mito Hollyhock | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | FC Tokyo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JEF Utd Chiba | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Kashima Antlers | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Tokyo | 3-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Yokohama F-Marinos | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Machida Zelvia (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JEF Utd Chiba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Kashiwa Reysol World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
Machida Zelvia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Machida Zelvia win (51%). Probabilities: JEF Utd Chiba 21%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 51%.
How many goals are expected in JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?
The model expects 2.53 goals (JEF Utd Chiba 0.95 · Machida Zelvia 1.59), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.