Football · Japan J-League · 15/08, 11:55
Prediction: Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Team pages: Fagiano Okayama · V-Varen Nagasaki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Fagiano Okayama1.31
V-Varen Nagasaki1.07
1X2
Fagiano Okayama
Draw
V-Varen Nagasaki
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fagiano Okayama
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
V-Varen Nagasaki
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fagiano Okayama
1–3–2
V-Varen Nagasaki
(6 last)
- V-Varen Nagasaki2-1Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama0-1V-Varen Nagasaki
- Fagiano Okayama1-0V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki0-0Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama2-2V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki0-0Fagiano Okayama
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours V-Varen Nagasaki: 2-3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fagiano Okayama | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fagiano Okayama 1–3–2 V-Varen Nagasaki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Japan J-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 21/03/26 Japan J-League | Fagiano Okayama | 0-1 HT 0-0 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 29/09/24 Japan J2-League | Fagiano Okayama | 1-0 HT 0-0 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 12/05/24 Japan J2-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 16/07/23 Japan J2-League | Fagiano Okayama | 2-2 HT 1-2 | V-Varen Nagasaki |
| 17/05/23 Japan J2-League | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Fagiano Okayama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Mito Hollyhock | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | FC Tokyo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fagiano Okayama | V-Varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fagiano Okayama (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fagiano Okayama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Schalke World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Werder Bremen World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | FC Kharkiv Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Paderborn World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Wehen SV World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
V-Varen Nagasaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | NEC World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fagiano Okayama win (41%). Probabilities: Fagiano Okayama 41%, draw 30%, V-Varen Nagasaki 29%.
How many goals are expected in Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Fagiano Okayama 1.31 · V-Varen Nagasaki 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.