Football · Japan J-League · 02/09, 12:00
Prediction: Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima Antlers
Team pages: Mito Hollyhock · Kashima Antlers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Mito Hollyhock0.94
Kashima Antlers1.7
1X2
Mito Hollyhock
Draw
Kashima Antlers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mito Hollyhock
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Kashima Antlers
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mito Hollyhock
1–2–3
Kashima Antlers
(6 last)
- Kashima Antlers3-0Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock1-1Kashima Antlers
- Mito Hollyhock1-1Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers1-0Mito Hollyhock
- Kashima Antlers0-1Mito Hollyhock
- Mito Hollyhock0-1Kashima Antlers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashima Antlers (rating 1417 vs 1586).
- H2H favours Kashima Antlers: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mito Hollyhock | Kashima Antlers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mito Hollyhock 1–2–3 Kashima Antlers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Japan J-League | Kashima Antlers | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 04/04/26 Japan J-League | Mito Hollyhock | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Kashima Antlers |
| 01/02/25 World Club Friendlies | Mito Hollyhock | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Kashima Antlers |
| 10/02/24 World Club Friendlies | Kashima Antlers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 13/02/22 World Club Friendlies | Kashima Antlers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mito Hollyhock |
| 01/02/20 World Club Friendlies | Mito Hollyhock | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kashima Antlers |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Fagiano Okayama | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mito Hollyhock | Kashima Antlers |
|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Tokyo Verdy | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Yokohama F-Marinos | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Kashima Antlers (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mito Hollyhock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
Kashima Antlers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-2 | 4-3 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima Antlers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kashima Antlers win (54%). Probabilities: Mito Hollyhock 20%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 54%.
How many goals are expected in Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima Antlers?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Mito Hollyhock 0.94 · Kashima Antlers 1.7), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima Antlers?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.