Football · Japan J-League · 02/09, 12:00
Prediction: JEF Utd Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama
Team pages: JEF Utd Chiba · Fagiano Okayama
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
JEF Utd Chiba1.12
Fagiano Okayama1.43
1X2
JEF Utd Chiba
Draw
Fagiano Okayama
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
JEF Utd Chiba
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Fagiano Okayama
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JEF Utd Chiba
3–3–0
Fagiano Okayama
(6 last)
- Fagiano Okayama0-0JEF Utd Chiba
- JEF Utd Chiba2-1Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama0-5JEF Utd Chiba
- JEF Utd Chiba1-1Fagiano Okayama
- Fagiano Okayama1-1JEF Utd Chiba
- JEF Utd Chiba1-0Fagiano Okayama
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fagiano Okayama (rating 1397 vs 1498).
- H2H favours JEF Utd Chiba: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JEF Utd Chiba | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.6 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JEF Utd Chiba 3–3–0 Fagiano Okayama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/24 Japan J2-League | Fagiano Okayama | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 01/06/24 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 01/10/23 Japan J2-League | Fagiano Okayama | 0-5 HT 0-3 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 25/03/23 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
| 30/07/22 Japan J2-League | Fagiano Okayama | 1-1 HT 0-0 | JEF Utd Chiba |
| 08/05/22 Japan J2-League | JEF Utd Chiba | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fagiano Okayama |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Fagiano Okayama | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JEF Utd Chiba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
Fagiano Okayama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JEF Utd Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fagiano Okayama win (43%). Probabilities: JEF Utd Chiba 28%, draw 29%, Fagiano Okayama 43%.
How many goals are expected in JEF Utd Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model expects 2.55 goals (JEF Utd Chiba 1.12 · Fagiano Okayama 1.43), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in JEF Utd Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.