Football · Japan J-League · 02/09, 12:00
Prediction: Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe
Team pages: Tokyo Verdy · Vissel Kobe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Tokyo Verdy1.06
Vissel Kobe1.24
1X2
Tokyo Verdy
Draw
Vissel Kobe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo Verdy
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Vissel Kobe
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokyo Verdy
1–1–2
Vissel Kobe
(4 last)
- Vissel Kobe4-0Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy0-1Vissel Kobe
- Tokyo Verdy1-1Vissel Kobe
- Vissel Kobe0-1Tokyo Verdy
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vissel Kobe (rating 1454 vs 1535).
- H2H favours Vissel Kobe: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tokyo Verdy | Vissel Kobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Verdy 1–1–2 Vissel Kobe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/25 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 12/04/25 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vissel Kobe |
| 10/11/24 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Vissel Kobe |
| 26/05/24 Japan J-League | Vissel Kobe | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Fagiano Okayama | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tokyo Verdy | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Yokohama F-Marinos | 0-6 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Tokyo | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vissel Kobe (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo Verdy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Vissel Kobe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vissel Kobe win (39%). Probabilities: Tokyo Verdy 30%, draw 31%, Vissel Kobe 39%.
How many goals are expected in Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Tokyo Verdy 1.06 · Vissel Kobe 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.