Football · Japan J-League · 02/09, 12:00
Prediction: Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds
Team pages: Avispa Fukuoka · Urawa Red Diamonds
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Avispa Fukuoka1.31
Urawa Red Diamonds1.25
1X2
Avispa Fukuoka
Draw
Urawa Red Diamonds
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Avispa Fukuoka
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Urawa Red Diamonds
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Avispa Fukuoka
4–1–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
(6 last)
- Urawa Red Diamonds0-0Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka1-0Urawa Red Diamonds
- Avispa Fukuoka1-0Urawa Red Diamonds
- Urawa Red Diamonds2-1Avispa Fukuoka
- Urawa Red Diamonds2-3Avispa Fukuoka
- Avispa Fukuoka2-1Urawa Red Diamonds
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urawa Red Diamonds (rating 1467 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Avispa Fukuoka: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avispa Fukuoka | Urawa Red Diamonds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Avispa Fukuoka 4–1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/25 Japan J-League | Urawa Red Diamonds | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 06/04/25 Japan J-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 30/11/24 Japan J-League | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 30/03/24 Japan J-League | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 25/11/23 Japan J-League | Urawa Red Diamonds | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 04/11/23 Japan J-League Cup | Avispa Fukuoka | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Urawa Red Diamonds |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Fagiano Okayama | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | JEF Utd Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avispa Fukuoka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Urawa Red Diamonds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Gamba Osaka Japan J-League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Avispa Fukuoka win (37%). Probabilities: Avispa Fukuoka 37%, draw 29%, Urawa Red Diamonds 34%.
How many goals are expected in Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Avispa Fukuoka 1.31 · Urawa Red Diamonds 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.